Articles

  • Jan 7, 2025 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

    There are various analyses and predictions about whether the Chinese Communist Party will launch a war in the Taiwan Strait. Some say it’ll happen in 2025, others say 2027, and still others say 2035. In this writer’s view, it is unlikely to see war break out with Taiwan in 2025, mainly because the critical juncture for war has not yet arrived.

  • Jan 7, 2025 | nature.com | Brian Lee |Ahmed Abdul Quadeer |Matthew McKay

    AbstractNew and more transmissible variants of SARS-CoV-2 have arisen multiple times over the course of the pandemic. Rapidly identifying mutations that affect transmission could improve our understanding of viral biology and highlight new variants that warrant further study. Here we develop a generic, analytical epidemiological model to infer the transmission effects of mutations from genomic surveillance data.

  • Dec 5, 2024 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

    This Nov. 22, the city of Zhongshan in Guangdong province, China, held two events along the theme of “Opportunities and Challenges for Cross-Strait Relations under the New Situation:” The 40th anniversary of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences’ Institute of Taiwan Studies and the 10th Cross-Strait Think Tank Academic Forum.

  • Nov 22, 2024 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

    The Policy Logic of Restricting Artificial Intelligence Investment in ChinaUnder the general trend of expanding national security regulations mentioned in the previous piece, U.S. lawmakers are increasingly concerned about the potential impact investing in China could have on their economy and national security, and proposals to establish a foreign investment review mechanism are receiving growing bipartisan support.

  • Nov 22, 2024 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

    Can the U.S.’ Allies Follow Its Lead? Prior to issuing the Outbound Order, the Biden administration had been pushing its allies to adopt similar regulations to restrict investment in China’s technology industry. It is fair to say that any unilateral action on the part of the U.S. would appear weak without the help of its allies, so it is doing its best to ensure that other countries do not step in to fill any investment gaps left by American companies.

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