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2 weeks ago | 
cepa.org | Natalia Martinez |Michael Peck |Federico Borsari |Alina Polyakova
Spain has been NATO’s spending laggard for many years and is now under heavy pressure from the Trump administration and European allies to get serious. But to do that, the socialist leader must convince his left-wing coalition partners and fellow Spaniards to accept welfare cuts. The European Union (EU) is being forced to reckon on a future without the US as the ultimate guarantor of continental security and needs major powers, like Spain, to contribute to a new defense structure.
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Dec 31, 2024 | 
foreignaffairs.com | Michelle Gavin |Alice C. Hill |Alina Polyakova |Samuel Charap
In June 2024, Keith Kellogg, a retired lieutenant general and national security adviser to former President Donald Trump, presented a plan he co-authored with the former CIA analyst Fred Fleitz that proposed halting the delivery of U.S. weapons to Ukraine if Kyiv didn’t enter into peace talks with Moscow—but also warning Moscow that if it refused to negotiate with Kyiv, Washington would increase its support for Ukraine.
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Dec 19, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Alina Polyakova |Benjamin Schmitt |Ronan Murphy |Aliide Naylor
For two decades, the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) has been at the forefront of strengthening the transatlantic alliance through cutting-edge research and analysis. Across our headquarters in Washington, DC, and hubs in London and Brussels, CEPA works to provide innovative insights on the most pressing issues concerning defense, democracy, and digital for Europe and North America.
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Nov 25, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Elisabeth Braw |Alina Polyakova |Ronan Murphy |Bill Echikson
Not for the first time, a Chinese merchant ship has been accused of ripping to pieces sensitive seabed infrastructure belonging to NATO nations in the Baltic Sea. Not for the first time, there are accusations of gray zone warfare, which is to say authoritarian state aggression short of outright war. But, for the first time, something different is happening, and it could get ugly.
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Nov 24, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Alina Polyakova |Ronan Murphy |Bill Echikson |Padraig Nolan
Ronan MurphySo good afternoon, everybody. Thank you very much for joining this call. This is a press briefing hosted by the Center for European Policy Analysis, and we’re going to be discussing issues in and around the upcoming AI Safety Summit and what might come from it, what might not. And we’re taking views from both sides of the Atlantic here today.
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Nov 22, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Antonia Hmaidi |Leon Mangasarian |Alina Polyakova |Ronan Murphy
It looked like a turning point. In August, the German Foreign Office summoned the Chinese ambassador to Germany, accusing Beijing of conducting a cyberattack against the state cartography agency. It was the first time that Germany had summoned China’s ambassador since the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989. Germany has woken up to the China challenge. The current government demonstrates a new understanding and willingness to act against Chinese threats.
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Nov 22, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Leon Mangasarian |Alina Polyakova |Ronan Murphy |Bill Echikson
The scenario in which a returning President Donald Trump exits NATO or, more likely, undermines confidence in Article 5 is all too familiar across the alliance. So, too, are the policies Europe needs to keep itself secure and free: stronger militaries, European nuclear deterrence, more cooperation, and far higher readiness. The problem is not policy but politics: what if what’s needed is impossible? Most of Europe has a defense implementation problem.
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Nov 21, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Alina Polyakova |Ronan Murphy |Bill Echikson |Walter C. Clemens
Over the past decade, the European Commission made tech regulation a top priority, passing a slew of new laws increasing the responsibility of platforms and attempting to thwart so-called digital “gatekeepers.” But Europe’s digital transformation is far from complete. The continent faces major challenges, from security to economic competitiveness. A new Commission must now switch gears to ensure that Europe can compete on the world stage. That starts with tech.
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Nov 13, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Walter C. Clemens |Michael Sheridan |Elisabeth Braw |Alina Polyakova
A book by Stanford research fellow Oriana Skylar Mastro, Upstart: How China Became a Great Power (Oxford University Press, 2024), provides a framework for analyzing the strategies by which China became the main challenger to the US. Mastro’s framework identifies three strategies:1. Emulation of many, but not all, US policies;2. Exploitation of gaps in Western policy that create opportunities for an upstart; and3. Entrepreneurship — pursuing original initiatives without Westen precedent.
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Feb 1, 2024 | 
almendron.com | Alina Polyakova |James Goldgeier
As the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine draws near, Kyiv’s allies are struggling to articulate a common vision for the long-term security of Ukraine and of Europe. The invasion, and the Ukrainian people’s subsequent courageous resistance, appeared to be a watershed moment for the transatlantic alliance—underscoring its value and illuminating Ukraine’s importance to Europe.
