Amy Walter

2 days ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

As legacy media’s influence continues to wane and the information space gets more diffused, it’s becoming harder to gauge the impact of news events on an upcoming election or political figure. If a tree falls in the New York Times, will it make a sound on TikTok or Facebook or YouTube? If we’ve learned anything from these past few years, it’s that we can’t fully understand the behavior of the electorate without a fulsome understanding of how people find, consume and process news and information.

4 days ago | realclearpolling.com | Philip Wegmann |Amy Walter |Paul Sperry |Liz Hoffman

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1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

Democratic attempts to rebuild support among younger voters, especially younger men, have reached epic levels of — as the kids might say — ‘cringe.’ The most recent example was a proposed $20 million strategy, uncovered by The New York Times, code-named SAM (short for “Speaking with American Men”), which aims to “study the syntax, language and content that gains attention and virality in these spaces.” How did Democrats, the party most associated with youth, become so mystified about how to...

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

After every major presidential and midterm election, the Democratic data firm Catalist releases a comprehensive analysis of the composition and partisan leanings of the electorate. What distinguishes their analysis from election night exit polling is that it integrates data like vote history, Census data and Catalist’s own polling and modeling, which can give us a more fulsome view of who joined the electorate, and — as importantly — who dropped out of it.

3 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

For the party that holds the White House, midterm elections come in three sizes: kinda bad, really bad, and really, really, really bad. The political environment and opinions of the incumbent president are the two biggest factors for determining just how ugly things get for the party in power. But, when it comes to races for the Senate, the map and candidate quality play an outsized role as well.