The Cook Political Report

Established in 1984, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter is a neutral, independent newsletter that offers in-depth analysis of elections and campaigns related to the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors, and the Presidency, along with insights into American political trends. Its readership includes a diverse array of subscribers such as lobbyists, trade organizations, businesses, labor unions, Members of Congress, political action committees, and various interest groups from across the political landscape. These subscribers depend on The Cook Political Report for unbiased information and analysis regarding the candidates in various races, key dynamics at play, current frontrunners, and critical factors to watch as the campaigns unfold.

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2026 Maine House Analysis: LePage Returns to Take on Golden

1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Erin Covey

Though Maine has consistently voted for Democratic presidential candidates for the past three decades, its congressional delegation is ideologically diverse: it includes an independent senator who caucuses with Democrats, a moderate Republican senator, a liberal stalwart, and House Democrats’ most moderate member. The 1st District, running along the southern coast, is comfortably blue, and longtime Democratic Rep. Chellie Pingree should easily win reelection next year.
Crowded GOP Field Expected to Seek To Succeed Tuberville in Alabama Senate

1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s announcement on Tuesday that he will run for governor in 2026 instead of seeking a second term in the Senate creates a wide-open opportunity for Republicans. And even though the former Auburn football coach has been telegraphing his gubernatorial play for some time now, not a lot of candidates have been huddled at the line of scrimmage to run just yet — so it may take some time for the full field of play to come into view.
Field Clear for Tuberville Following Governor Campaign Kickoff

1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Matthew Klein

Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville declared his candidacy for governor of Alabama on Tuesday, instantly establishing him as the frontrunner to succeed term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey. Though questions linger about the exact nature of Tuberville’s residence in the state he hopes to lead, few operatives in either party expect them to seriously halt his drive toward the end zone. Tuberville, 70, had flirted with a bid for the state’s top job for months.
Field Clear for Tuberville Following Alabama Gov Campaign Kickoff

1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Matthew Klein

Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville declared his candidacy for governor of Alabama on Tuesday, instantly establishing him as the frontrunner to succeed term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey. Though questions linger about the exact nature of Tuberville’s residence in the state he hopes to lead, few operatives in either party expect them to seriously halt his drive toward the end zone. Tuberville, 70, had flirted with a bid for the state’s top job for months.
Louisiana House 2026: Awaiting the Supreme Court’s Racial Gerrymandering Ruling

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Erin Covey

The 2024 election cycle was momentous for Black Louisianans — for the first time in nearly three decades, the state had two majority-Black districts. Though they make up a third of the state’s population, just one of the state’s six congressional districts was majority-Black under the state’s original post-2020 Census congressional map.
Bayou Battle Looms as Cassidy Tries to Repent From Trump Impeachment Vote

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Just over four years ago, Louisiana Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy committed a cardinal sin for the GOP in the age of Donald Trump — voting to convict the then-former president on impeachment charges after the storming of the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. That vote — and a change in Louisiana’s primary rules — has thrown the once comfortably reelected senator into his toughest race yet. He will face at least one GOP challenger and is in real danger of being ousted.
Time Is Running Out To Derail New Jersey Governor Primary Frontrunners

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Matthew Klein

The doors are quickly closing on efforts to derail both parties’ frontrunners ahead of New Jersey’s June 10 gubernatorial primaries. President Donald Trump’s endorsement of former state Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli last week all but guarantees that the Republican businessman will advance to the general election in his third consecutive quest for the governorship. Meanwhile, Rep. Mikie Sherrill has become the clear favorite in the six-way Democratic primary to succeed term-limited Gov. Phil Murphy.
Will Trump’s Party Take a Hit in the Midterms if Consumer Confidence Continues To Sag?

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Charlie Cook

Anyone who reads this column regularly knows that the party holding the presidency usually loses House seats. In 18 of the 20 post-World War II midterms, the average outcome has been a net loss of 26 seats. They also know that the pattern exists in the Senate but to a lesser extent: There have been losses in only 13 of those cycles, with the average outcome being a loss of 3.8 seats. For Democrats, there is good news and bad news. The bad news is that the public doesn’t like them.
A Comprehensive New Data Analysis Into Why Harris Lost in 2024

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

After every major presidential and midterm election, the Democratic data firm Catalist releases a comprehensive analysis of the composition and partisan leanings of the electorate. What distinguishes their analysis from election night exit polling is that it integrates data like vote history, Census data and Catalist’s own polling and modeling, which can give us a more fulsome view of who joined the electorate, and — as importantly — who dropped out of it.
Democrats’ Road to the Senate Goes Through Maine. That’s Harder Than It Sounds.

3 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Amy Walter

For the party that holds the White House, midterm elections come in three sizes: kinda bad, really bad, and really, really, really bad. The political environment and opinions of the incumbent president are the two biggest factors for determining just how ugly things get for the party in power. But, when it comes to races for the Senate, the map and candidate quality play an outsized role as well.