Andrian Prokip

1 week ago | cepa.org | Andrian Prokip |Aura Sabadus |Maciej Bukowski |Suriya Evans-Pritchard Jayanti

There is a lull, of sorts, in Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, though not the full ceasefire promised in March (and broken in April) by Vladimir Putin. Even so, the lessening of such strikes represents an important opportunity for Ukraine to prepare for the near and long-term future. The lower tempo of attacks mean Ukraine can quickly repair damaged facilities and prepare for new rounds of strikes should negotiations fail.

Oct 18, 2024 | wilsoncenter.org | Andrian Prokip

1. ROLLOUT OF THE WARGeneral Developments during July–September 2024The dynamics of the war did not change much in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the previous three months. Russian forces applied intense pressure along some parts of the front line and continued advancing in the Donbas direction. According to the DeepState web service, which acquires open-source data, Ukraine lost control of 0.15 percent of its internationally recognized territory during these three months.

Sep 11, 2024 | wilsoncenter.org | Andrian Prokip

Ukraine’s economy has been deeply dependent on international financial aid from allies during the war. At the same time, the government uses internal reserves to support the economy. Below is an overview of Ukraine’s economy at midyear. Economic growthDespite the electricity cutoffs and smaller harvests compared to the previous year, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has improved its expectations for economic growth from 3.0 to 3.7% in July.

Aug 28, 2024 | odessa-journal.com | Andrian Prokip

By Andrian Prokip, UIM Expert, Head of the "Energy" Programme On the morning of August 26, the Russian forces launched a large-scale attack on the Ukrainian energy system. What are the consequences of the shelling, and when can we expect the situation to stabilize? Forecasting developments in Ukraine's energy sector has always been a challenging and thankless task. Primarily, the inconsistency in government energy policy led to many plans and strategies being unrealized.

Aug 13, 2024 | wilsoncenter.org | Andrian Prokip

On March 22, Russia renewed its broad-scale attacks on the Ukrainian energy sector. Between then and the end of July, the country’s power system lost more than 9 GW of capacity. This volume amounts to more than half of Ukraine’s peak winter consumption. Average peak consumption in the winter of 2023–2024 was 16.5 GW per day, and the greatest consumption, on the coldest day, was 18 GW.