Articles

  • 1 month ago | cepa.org | Chris Stephen

    “I had hoped we were hurling a wildcat onto the shore,” Winston Churchill once said of a failed amphibious operation. “Instead, we got a stranded whale.” That may be the fate of Europe’s new crime of aggression court for Ukraine, launched this month with much fanfare, but which may never hold a trial. The Special Tribunal for the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine was approved by European ministers on May 9.

  • 2 months ago | danperry.substack.com | Chris Stephen |Dan Perry

    By Chris StephenWhat does a court do when it has no cases to try? Shut down? Sell the furniture? Hire out robes and courtroom for weddings and bachelor parties? That was the problem facing the International Criminal Court. Its judges knew that when their existing cases wound up this summer, there were no more to come. Not because the ICC has no suspects. There are more than 30 at large, but none are being arrested. By this time next year, the jail would be empty, and the courtroom too.

  • Feb 13, 2025 | danperry.substack.com | Chris Stephen |Dan Perry

    The US Treasury has sanctioned the troubled chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, Karim Khan, in the first move against the court by the Trump administration (and as foreseen on these pages two months ago). Khan is now banned from the United States, and any assets and bank accounts he owns there will be frozen, after Trump complained about the court’s warrants against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former defense minister Yoav Gallant.

  • Jan 23, 2025 | danperry.substack.com | Chris Stephen |Dan Perry

    By Chris StephenThe International Criminal Court has suffered a new blow to its authority after Italy released a key Libyan suspect in defiance of the court’s wishes. Libyan police general Osama Njeem was accused by the ICC of murder, torture and sexual violence as alleged boss of a detention center in the capital Tripoli. His arrest and release have been dramatic, verging on bizarre. Njeem had been in the court’s crosshairs for a while.

  • Jan 16, 2025 | cepa.org | Catherine Sendak |Ilya Timtchenko |Chris Stephen |Edward Lucas

    Reauthorize, extend, and increase funds to USAI and other authorities: The USAI train-and-equip authority should be extended for a five-year period, covering Fiscal Years 2026 through 2031 which will enable consistent planning as the current annual/semi-annual reauthorization process can create unnecessary delays in execution.

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Chris Stephen
Chris Stephen @reportingLibya
16 Jun 25

#OOTT Oil price is DOWN this morning. Just when I thought I'd got economics figured out...

Javier Blas
Javier Blas @JavierBlas

And oil is down... #OOTT

Chris Stephen
Chris Stephen @reportingLibya
16 Jun 25

#OOTT Useful insight into the complexities of Iran war on oil demand.

Javier Blas
Javier Blas @JavierBlas

For now, the most bullish impact of the Israel-Iran war on the global oil supply and demand balances comes, ironically, from the **demand** side. Without Israeli gas, Jordan and Egypt are burning more FO and diesel for power generation. Iraq may have to do the same if/when Iran

Chris Stephen
Chris Stephen @reportingLibya
16 Jun 25

US tanker planes head east.

Flightradar24
Flightradar24 @flightradar24

About 30 US Air Force aircraft, mostly KC-46A Pegasus and KC-135 Stratotankers, that left the US last night are starting to reach Europe. The final destination is unknown. https://t.co/8qUqzh9qBm