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1 week ago | 
dwarkesh.com | |Daniel Kokotajlo
Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu have 2045+ timelines, think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong, don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible, but are convinced we'll see explosive economic growth. This discussion offers a totally different scenario than my recent interview with Scott and Daniel. Ege and Tamay are the co-founders of Mechanize, a startup dedicated to fully automating work. Before founding Mechanize, Ege and Tamay worked on AI forecasts at Epoch AI.
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Dec 28, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Aleksey Bykhun |L L |Daniel Kokotajlo |Tom Davidson
This post is crossposted from my Substack. Original here. Edited to add: The main takeaway of this post is meant to be: Labour-replacing AI will shift the relative importance of human v non-human factors of production, which reduces the incentives for society to care about humans while making existing powers more effective and entrenched.
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Nov 20, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Zach Stein-Perlman |David Matolcsi |Daniel Kokotajlo
I experimented a bunch with DeepSeek today, it seems to be exactly on the same level in highs school competition math as o1-preview in my experiments. So I don't think it's benchmark-gaming, at least in math. On the other hand, it's noticeably worse than even the original GPT-4 at understanding a short story I also always test models on.
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Nov 17, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Daniel Kokotajlo
Here's a fairly concrete AGI safety proposal:Default AGI design: Let's suppose we are starting with a pretrained LLM 'base model' and then we are going to do a ton of additional RL ('agency training') to turn it into a general-purpose autonomous agent.
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Oct 4, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Daniel Filan |Daniel Kokotajlo
YouTube linkEpoch AI is the premier organization that tracks the trajectory of AI - how much compute is used, the role of algorithmic improvements, the growth in data used, and when the above trends might hit an end. In this episode, I speak with the director of Epoch AI, Jaime Sevilla, about how compute, data, and algorithmic improvements are impacting AI, and whether continuing to scale can get us AGI.
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Sep 7, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Daniel Kokotajlo
If we are in a simulation, it implies an answer to the question of "Why do I exist?"Suppose the following assumptions are true:The universe is a construct of some larger set of simulations designed by some meta-level entity who is chiefly concerned with the results of the simulationThe cost of computation to that entity is non-zeroIf true, these assumptions imply a specific answer to the question "Why do I exist?" Specifically, it implies you exist because you are computationally irreducible.
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Aug 18, 2024 | 
dmovies.org | Eoghan Lyng |Saule Bliuvaite |Daniel Kokotajlo |Sylvie Ballyot
QUICK AND DIRTY: LIVE FROM LOCARNOIstanbul stands as a central character in this feature. Indeed, it is to Akin what Paris represents to Vinz in La Haine (Mathieu Kassovitz, 1995): an integral part of his identity. It pleases, horrifies and indulges him in equal measure. Akin, a man who has spent much of his life in hospitals and mental health institutions, cannot imagine a life outside of the Turkish capital.
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Aug 16, 2024 | 
dmovies.org | Victor Fraga |Daniel Kokotajlo |Robert Kaplan
Based on the eponymous novel by Andrew Michael Hurley, Daniel Kokotajlo’s sophomore feature is the diametrical opposite of his breathtaking debut Apostasy (2017), a jarring, semi-autobiographical social realist drama about a defecting Jehovah Witness, and the very dear consequences that he has to pay.
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Aug 5, 2024 | 
rottentomatoes.com | Daniel Kokotajlo |Matt Smith |Morfydd Clark |Erin Richards
Released Jul 26 1h 38m Horror TRAILER for Starve Acre: Trailer 1 List 88% Tomatometer 40 Reviews 57% Audience Score Fewer than 50 Ratings When their son starts acting strangely, a couple unwittingly allow dark and sinister forces into their home, awakening a long-dormant ancient evil rooted deep in the countryside.
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Jul 24, 2024 | 
moviescenecanada.com | Daniel Kokotajlo
What fuels the entire film are the lead performances of Smith and Clark, both of whom are exceptional. While they are not names that instantly jump to mind, Smith and Clark have both been delivering commanding performances in recent years, with Smith in House of the Dragon and the first two seasons of The Crown, and Clark in Saint Maud and The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power, and that continues for both of them in this film.
