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Aug 16, 2024 | 
warontherocks.com | Dara Massicot
After the war in Ukraine freezes or ends, the Russian military will begin a long-term effort to regenerate equipment and personnel. How will they recruit the next generation of professional enlisted soldiers and officers, having sustained an estimated 350,000 casualties in Ukraine since 2022? My research finds that the Russian government is already considering this challenge and has begun implementing a strategy for post-war recruiting with a coherent logic.
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Aug 10, 2024 | 
warontherocks.com | Michael Kofman |Dara Massicot
This is part one of a two-parter on Ukraine’s operation into the Russian oblast of Kursk and it’s from our members-only show, “The Russia Contingency” with Michael Kofman. In this episode Mike discusses this fast developing situation with his colleague at the Carnegie Endowment, Dara Massicot. If you’re a member, you can listen to part two. Become member today!Image: Ukrainian Ministry of Defense
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Jul 16, 2024 | 
rand.org | Dara Massicot
Key Findings
Russia's military has sustained more casualties in 18 months of war in Ukraine than in an entire decade in Afghanistan or during two campaigns in Chechnya. The impact of these casualties and the combat trauma for those who survive will have acute and lasting effects on the Russian military's ability to recruit and retain service personnel for many years.
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May 20, 2024 | 
carnegieendowment.org | Alexander Gabuev |Dara Massicot
blog Carnegie Politika is a digital publication that features unmatched analysis and insight on Russia, Ukraine and the wider region. For nearly a decade, Carnegie Politika has published contributions from members of Carnegie’s global network of scholars and well-known outside contributors and has helped drive important strategic conversations and policy debates. Subscribe OnFollowing his fifth presidential inauguration, Russian President Vladimir Putin has approved a new government.
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Mar 8, 2024 | 
almendron.com | Dara Massicot
Two years after Russia’s invasion, Ukraine and its Western supporters are at a critical decision point and face a fundamental question: How can further Russian advances on the battlefield be stopped, and then reversed? After capturing the ruined city of Avdiivka, Russian forces are moving forward fitfully in other areas along the front.
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Mar 8, 2024 | 
foreignaffairs.com | Dara Massicot
Two years after Russia’s invasion, Ukraine and its Western supporters are at a critical decision point and face a fundamental question: How can further Russian advances on the battlefield be stopped, and then reversed? After capturing the ruined city of Avdiivka, Russian forces are moving forward fitfully in other areas along the front.
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Feb 22, 2024 | 
carnegieendowment.org | Dara Massicot
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
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Feb 1, 2024 | 
carnegieendowment.org | Eric Ciaramella |Dara Massicot |Aaron Miller
On Thursday, after weeks of negotiation, the EU approved a 50 billion euro funding package for Ukraine, giving the country a much needed economic boost, while the U.S. bill remains held up in Congress. On a recent episode of Carnegie Connects, host Aaron David Miller discussed the status of Russia’s war against Ukraine with Carnegie senior fellows Dara Massicot and Eric Ciaramella. This Q&A was adapted from their conversation, which has been edited and condensed for clarity.
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Jan 26, 2024 | 
warontherocks.com | Michael Kofman |Rob Lee |Dara Massicot
This winter, Ukraine’s military is visibly running on fumes, as recent reporting shows M109 Paladin artillery outside Bakhmut receiving only smoke shells for ammunition. When we were last there in November, shell hunger was widespread along the front, and the situation has only gotten worse. Following months of hard fighting, Ukraine’s offensive in 2023 proved a missed opportunity. The current situation is also not sustainable long term. It is clear Ukraine and the West need a new strategic vision.
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Jan 9, 2024 | 
carnegieendowment.org | Aaron Miller |Dara Massicot |Eric Ciaramella
The Israel-Hamas war may have pushed Ukraine off the front pages, but Russia's war against Kyiv is almost certain to remain a key focus of U.S. foreign policy throughout 2024. Tough choices await. Hopes that the combination of a successful Ukrainian counter-offensive, tough sanctions, and diplomatic pressure might force Putin to alter his strategic calculus have given way to a more realistic assessment that this conflict might last for many years.
What should we expect on the battlefield in 2024?
