Michael Kofman

1 month ago | warontherocks.com | Jack Watling |Michael Kofman

Following a dramatic meeting in the White House, U.S. military support for Ukraine is perilously uncertain. Sustaining Ukraine in this war, and afterwards, is a responsibility that Europe will have to shoulder sooner rather than later. Washington may now cut support for Ukraine well before any agreement is reached and try to compel Ukraine to accept an unstable ceasefire. This will leave Ukraine in a perpetual state of insecurity, and Europe bracing for a possible renewal of the war.

2 months ago | carnegieendowment.org | Eric Ciaramella |Michael Kofman |Aaron Miller |Alexandra Prokopenko

On this week’s episode of Carnegie Connects, Aaron David Miller spoke with Carnegie experts Eric Ciaramella, Michael Kofman, Alexandra Prokopenko, and Andrew Weiss on the third anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. They discussed battlefield conditions, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s domestic challenges, the Russian economy, and U.S. President Donald Trump’s overtures to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

2 months ago | warontherocks.com | Michael Kofman |Ryan Evans

Mike Kofman joined Ryan for a wide-ranging conversation on the challenges faced by both Ukraine and Russia this year. They discuss losses on both sides, manpower challenges, the importance of following the discourse in Ukraine, the Russian economy, and whether the Russian pace of operations will clearly slow down. This episode is brought to you by Bedrock Knowledge. Image: Army Inform

Dec 18, 2024 | foreignaffairs.com | Michael Froman |Andrea Kendall-Taylor |Michael Kofman |Mara E. Karlin

On August 6, 2024, Ukrainian forces launched a surprise cross-border offensive into Russia’s Kursk region—the biggest foreign incursion into Russian territory since World War II. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s response was telling. Days after Ukraine’s offensive, Putin railed against the United States and Europe. “The West is fighting us with the hands of the Ukrainians,” he said, reiterating his view that Russia’s war in Ukraine is in fact a proxy battle with the West.

Dec 4, 2024 | warontherocks.com | Michael Kofman |Ryan Evans

Mike Kofman and Ryan have a high-level conversation on strategy in this war, or the lack thereof. From Ukraine’s mobilization reluctance to the Biden administration’s curious approach to sequencing authorities and capabilities, they review what might ultimately cost Ukraine the war. And make no mistake, that is where the war is trending. Ryan also runs an idea by Mike on how the issue of security guarantees might work in the event of a peace settlement, in a way that doesn’t involve NATO directly.