David Coletto

1 month ago | abacusdata.ca | David Coletto

From March 10 to 12, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,700 Canadian adults online asking our core federal political tracking questions plus some new questions on Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre. All of the interviews were conducted following Mark Carney’s win in the Liberal leadership election on Sunday. We find that the horse race continues to tighten as the shift in perceptions and priorities continues.

1 month ago | davidcoletto.substack.com | David Coletto

Over the past week, I’ve been taking a closer look at what is holding back the NDP in the eyes of potential voters. Based on survey data I collected with Abacus Data, I asked Canadians who would consider voting NDP but currently aren’t planning to do so what their main hesitation was. The results were quite revealing, particularly when we zoom in on three major barriers to NDP support: a polarized electorate, a relatively unpopular leader, and a lack of perceived viability.

1 month ago | davidcoletto.substack.com | David Coletto

Sun Tzu, a Chinese military strategist from the 6th century BC, wrote the classic treatise The Art of War, arguably the earliest known work on military strategy. His insights have transcended time and geography, finding relevance not just on ancient battlefields, but also in boardrooms, sports arenas, and, yes, election campaigns.

1 month ago | abacusdata.ca | Eddie Sheppard |David Coletto

Over the past few weeks, tensions between Canada and the United States have intensified, spurred by President Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs and the constant threat of annexation. This heated political landscape has ignited a surge in Canadian patriotism, which is now expressing itself in a very tangible way: through consumer behaviour.

1 month ago | abacusdata.ca | Eddie Sheppard |David Coletto

For the past few years, Canadians have navigated a scarcity mindset, shaped by housing shortages, rising costs, strained healthcare, and job insecurity. This competition for essential resources fueled frustration, shifting views on immigration, climate change, and housing, driving many voters away from the Trudeau-led Liberals in search of relief. Now, we see a new mindset emerging – one defined by uncertainty. The tariffs imposed by the Trump Administration yesterday only adds to that uncertainty.