David Nir

1 day ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

Former state Rep. Amish Shah announced Tuesday that he would seek a rematch against Republican Rep. David Schweikert, who defeated him 52-48 in last year's general election for Arizona's 1st District. This constituency, which is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale, is one of the swingiest in the nation. Calculations by The Downballot show that Donald Trump won it by just a 51-48 margin, four years after Joe Biden carried it by an even more slender 50-49 spread.

2 days ago | gelliottmorris.com | G. Elliott Morris |David Nir

I was very kindly joined by David Nir of The Downballot on Tuesday to talk about the (successful, IMO!) launch of Strength In Numbers this week, and give a sneak peek at our first poll publishing tomorrow (Wednesday, May 14). The first few minutes will be familiar to readers because we are giving a wider audience on the Substack App the low-down on what we do here at Strength In Numbers. But the rest will be fresh for you.

2 days ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

State Auditor Rob Sand announced on Monday that he would seek the Democratic nomination for governor of Iowa, a long-anticipated development that gives his party a major candidate in what's become a conservative state. Sand launched his campaign to flip this post just hours before CBS reported that Rep. Randy Feenstra had also decided to run to succeed retiring Gov.

3 days ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

Montana's Supreme Court, which has long been dominated by a moderate majority, could shift sharply toward conservative control next year if Republicans flip a seat held by a retiring swing justice. Such an outcome would leave the seven-member court with four members elected with the support of the GOP, which already controls the governorship and both chambers of the legislature. Up for grabs is the seat held by two-term Justice Beth Baker, who announced her retirement last month.

6 days ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Taegan Goddard |Aaron Rupar

On the latest edition of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with Taegan Goddard, founder of the must-read site Political Wire. You can become a Political Wire subscriber by clicking the button just below:On the show, Taegan tells us:How a feature in the Wall Street Journal inspired him to create his own news site—all the way back in 1999.