David Nir

New York

Co-Host at The Downballot Podcast

Publisher at The Downballot

Publisher, The Downballot. davidnir (at) the-downballot (dot) com Find me on Bluesky: https://t.co/St2Z40rh6d

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Articles

Can Dems win Iowa? with Laura Belin

1 week ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Aaron Rupar |Laura Belin

On the latest episode of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with fellow Substacker Laura Belin all about Iowa!You can subscribe to Laura’s newsletter by clicking the button below:Laura tells us:Why she wasn’t shocked to hear Republican Sen. Joni Ernst might not run again—but why she still expects her to. How Democratic strength in Iowa, once a swing state, has eroded but not vanished.
Can Dems win Iowa? w/Laura Belin

1 week ago | laurabelin.substack.com | Laura Belin |David Nir |Aaron Rupar

Thanks to all who tuned into hear me talk Iowa politics withIt’s been a busy week for me with podcasts—in addition to “KHOI’s Capitol Week,” I also joinedfor the 100th episode ofLater today I’ll be withfor the last time before that pod goes on summer hiatus.
Trump's war on immigrants has boomeranged

2 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Aaron Rupar

On the latest episode of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice pull the curtain back on the conventional wisdom that immigration is Donald Trump’s strong suit. David and Aaron explain:Why Trump’s polling on immigration has taken a nosedive since he deployed the military to Los Angeles.
Trump's war on immigrants has boomeranged

2 weeks ago | publicnotice.co | Aaron Rupar |David Nir

On the latest episode of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice pull the curtain back on the conventional wisdom that immigration is Donald Trump’s strong suit. David and Aaron explain:Why Trump’s polling on immigration has taken a nosedive since he deployed the military to Los Angeles.
Trump & Musk: Rapid unscheduled disassembly

3 weeks ago | publicnotice.co | Aaron Rupar |David Nir |Joe Sudbay

On the latest episode of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice share a hearty laugh with Joe Sudbay, who hosts “State of the States” on SiriusXM Progress, over the rapid unscheduled disassembly of the Trump-Musk bromance.
Morning Digest: Why Democrats worry they might lose Texas' second-biggest city

3 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

San Antonio is normally a blue-leaning town, but Texas Democrats fear that their candidate could lose Saturday's officially nonpartisan election to serve as the city's next mayor. That battle pits Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones, a former Biden administration official, against Republican Rolando Pablos, who once served as Texas' secretary of state.
Morning Digest: Well-known Nebraska Democrat joins race to take on Don Bacon

3 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

Democratic state Sen. John Cavanaugh announced on Wednesday that he would challenge Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon in the Omaha-based 2nd District, the bluest House seat in the nation held by a Republican. Cavanaugh hails from a prominent local political family: His father and namesake represented the 2nd District from 1977 to 1981, while his sister, Machaela Cavanaugh, serves with him in the state's unique unicameral legislature.
The definitive report on 2024

3 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |David Beard

Current time: 0:00 / Total time: -1:01:10Audio playback is not supported on your browser. Please upgrade. We've been subject to endless hot takes about last year's elections, but Catalist has much more compelling answers. CEO Michael Frias joins us on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast to explore his firm's detailed new report, What Happened in 2024, that uses carefully assembled voter data to understand how things really went down.
Morning Digest: John Cornyn explains why he's losing-and it's extremely unconvincing

3 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

As yet another poll shows Texas Sen. John Cornyn trailing Attorney General Ken Paxton in next year's Republican primary, the incumbent is acknowledging that he is indeed behind—but his diagnosis of the problem may be a bit lacking. Cornyn's latest dose of bad news comes from a survey conducted by the GOP firm UpOne Insights, which finds Paxton decisively defeating Cornyn 50-28.
Democrats just turned in a massive overperformance in a majority-Black district

3 weeks ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Jeff Singer

Democrat Keishan Scott, a 24-year-old minister and local elected official, won Tuesday's special election for the South Carolina House in a 71-29 landslide, turning in one of the largest overperformances of the year. Scott's 41-point victory over Republican Bill Oden represented a huge improvement on Kamala Harris' narrow 51-46 margin in the 50th District, a largely rural constituency based in the Midlands in the central part of the state.