Emily Allendorf

Nov 29, 2023 | rand.org | Calvo Hernandez |Zohan Hasan |Emily Allendorf |Nathan Chandler

Research BriefKey Findings Nearly the entire U.S. Central Command(CENTCOM) area of responsibility (AOR) facesthe compounding effects of accelerating hightemperatures, drought, and long-term dryness. Causal pathways from climate events toarmed conflict are multistep processesin which climate hazards compoundgovernance and socioeconomic grievances. According to modeling by RAND Corporationresearchers, the CENTCOM AOR will experiencesubstantial conflict in the coming half century.