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Oct 22, 2024 | 
theatlantic.com | Frederick Kempe
Americans on November 5 will be electing a wartime president. This isn’t a prediction. It’s reality. Neither major-party candidate has yet spoken plainly enough to the American people about the perils represented by the growing geopolitical and defense-industrial collaboration among China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. This axis of aggressors may be unprecedented in the potential peril it represents.
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Oct 15, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Patrick Quirk |Frederick Kempe |Daniel Hojnacki |David L. Goldwyn
EnergySource Oct 30, 2024 What will a Trump or Harris administration mean for climate and energy policy? By David L.
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Sep 29, 2024 | 
exbulletin.com | Frederick Kempe
Inflection Points September 28, 2024 8:00 a.m. ET Print this page The United States faces two global threats: China, Russia and itselfNEW YORKTwo dark clouds hung over the United Nations General Assembly this week in New York. The first was the growing peril of the Sino-Russian common cause. The second was uncertainty about whether U.S. leaders would be able to meet the challenge after the November election.
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May 16, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
Economy & Business Future of Work Germany Politics & Diplomacy ‘Auf Wiedersehen’ to hard-working Germany? My German immigrant parents, who passed away some time ago, instilled in their children a powerful work ethic. I had always considered it synonymous with their origins. One of the first German words they taught me was “fleissig,” which means diligent, industrious, assiduous, and hard-working—all wrapped up into one word. They would be shocked to learn that Germany today has the shortest...
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May 15, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
China Economy & Business Politics & Diplomacy Trade United States and Canada Biden’s China tariffs are big and preemptive What’s new about US President Joe Biden’s far-reaching new tariffs on Chinese goods, announced yesterday, is that they are about both prevention and resignation. They are about prevention in that the sweeping tariff increases across a range of strategic industries include a whopping 100 percent tariff on electric vehicles (EVs), although these vehicles account for only 1...
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May 14, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
Conflict Israel Middle East Politics & Diplomacy Security & Defense The Gulf United States and Canada Why strategy is central to the Biden-Netanyahu dispute At the heart of the Biden administration’s growing frustration with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is what the White House considers his failure to articulate and execute a strategy that will make Israel more secure, while engaging in tactics that are making it less so. Two individuals familiar with the administration’s...
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Apr 18, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
China Politics & Diplomacy Security & Defense Taiwan United States and Canada China and ‘the decade of living dangerously’ We interrupt this week’s focus on Iran’s unprecedented attack on Israel, and concerns regarding Israel’s response—and our related focus on whether the US House will approve funding to help Ukraine defend itself against Russia before it’s too late—to remind readers not to lose their focus on the complex issue of “integrated deterrence” as it relates to China and Taiwan....
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Apr 12, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
Economy & Business International Financial Institutions International Markets Macroeconomics Politics & Diplomacy Trade IMF managing director: ‘Think of the unthinkable’ You might expect the world’s financial leaders, making their annual pilgrimage next week to Washington for the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, to arrive amid a collective sigh of relief. As IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at the Atlantic Council yesterday, inflation...
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Jan 29, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
Indo-Pacific International Norms Middle East Russia Security & Defense Ukraine United States and Canada The United States is unprepared for this nightmare scenario It’s hard to disagree with former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates’s argument that the United States is confronting the greatest threat to global order that it has “in decades, perhaps ever”—with intractable wars in Europe and the Middle East and tensions that could easily escalate in Asia. What I’ve tried to do in this column is...
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Jan 25, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Frederick Kempe
Democratic Transitions Elections International Norms Russia Security & Defense Ukraine United States and Canada How the prospect of a second Trump presidency is already shaping geopolitics In Davos last week, Harvard University’s Graham Allison was making waves talking about how former US President Donald Trump was already shaping allies’ and adversaries’ policy choices. With Trump’s New Hampshire primary victory this week, that influence will only increase. “Some foreign governments are...
