
Geoffrey Skelley
Free agent psephologist writing at https://t.co/CuNElKiWJt. Alum of @FiveThirtyEight @Center4Politics. VA native now in VT. @UVA @JMU alum
Articles
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Mar 3, 2025 |
abcnews.go.com | Geoffrey Skelley
Trump's flurry of executive actions may foreshadow fewer congressional requests. President Donald Trump arrives to deliver the State of the Union address in the House chamber in Washington, D.C., Feb. 4, 2020.
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Feb 26, 2025 |
abcnews.go.com | Geoffrey Skelley
Democrats would flip the House and get a boost in presidential and Senate races. President Donald Trump has repeatedly called for Canada to become the 51st U.S. state. ABC News, Adobe, Ludovic Marin/Pool, AP, Ludovic Marin/PoolLast week, Canada defeated the United States in the championship of the 4 Nations Face-Off international ice hockey tournament.
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Feb 20, 2025 |
abcnews.go.com | Geoffrey Skelley
Data disruptions could cause big issues in both the public and private sectors. Actions by Donald Trump and Elon Musk have disrupted access to government data. ABC News, Andrew Harnik/Getty, Alex Brandon/APWhat happens when one of the world's largest repositories of free information becomes unreliable? That dire situation came to pass in late January, when many federal websites took down entire datasets to avoid possibly violating a series of executive orders from President Donald Trump.
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Feb 5, 2025 |
abcnews.go.com | Geoffrey Skelley
Sen. Gary Peters’s retirement makes this key contest even more unpredictable. Pete Buttigieg, US secretary of transportation, speaks during a christening event at the Philly Shipyard in Philadelphia, Sept. 9, 2024. Heather Khalifa/Bloomberg via Getty Images, FILEWhile Lake Michigan isn't known for massive waves, political developments in Michigan last week look likely to make a sizable splash in the 2026 election cycle. Democratic Sen. Gary Peters announced on Jan.
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Jan 23, 2025 |
abcnews.go.com | Geoffrey Skelley
The policy faces a tough legal battle, but could have a major impact if enacted. For more than a century, being "born in the USA" has also meant the certainty of citizenship.
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Waiting on #NJGov results and looking for something to read? Check out my look at how the Dem primary ended up so crowded and what that might say about the changing politics of the Garden State. https://t.co/BUoGcAIHti https://t.co/I76zsJDwRB

RT @baseballot: Today is primary election day in New Jersey! @geoffreyvs has a good preview: https://t.co/WiE6uDRTWQ

Will this ad spending help Gottheimer surge at the end? The last #NJGov polling we saw in May had him at around 10%. But either way, this could be the most fragmented primary vote New Jersey has ever seen. I took a look: https://t.co/BUoGcAJfiQ

Tomorrow's #NJGov primary has seen a record-breaking $87.9m in ad spend/reservations. One in every four ad dollars in the primary has gone towards supporting Josh Gottheimer. Read our blog from last week for more insights on the primary: https://t.co/pbb0vaoLyk https://t.co/2vd73UkY7K