Nathaniel Rakich

Mar 6, 2025 | baseballot.substack.com | Nathaniel Rakich

Back in 2012—when it was still in its New York Times era—FiveThirtyEight had a feature called Reads and Reactions. Essentially, Micah Cohen—who was one of just two FiveThirtyEight employees at the time, along with a guy named Nate Silver—rounded up some good pieces of data journalism from around the internet (the “reads”) and other articles engaging with what Nate had written that week (the “reactions”).

Feb 27, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich

It's an unpredictable year, but other award shows give us a clue. This year's Oscars are tough to predict. ABC News, Adobe538 has forecasted a lot of elections in its day, from the worlds of politics to sports to entertainment. But without a doubt, the Oscars are the most fun (probably because they're also the lowest-stakes).

Feb 19, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Monica Potts |Nathaniel Rakich

Plus, polling on U.S. expansion, the Russia-Ukraine war and approval of Trump. ByMonica Potts and Nathaniel RakichFebruary 19, 2025, 1:23 PMWelcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls. Andrew Harnik/Getty, Chip Somodevilla/Getty, AdobeWelcome to Pollapalooza, our occasional polling column.

Feb 13, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich |Tia Yang |Monica Potts |G. Elliott Morris

Economists agree they would raise prices, and Americans agree that would be bad. ByNathaniel Rakich, Tia Yang, Monica Potts, and G. Elliott MorrisFebruary 13, 2025, 5:33 PMWelcome to 538's latest politics chat. Welcome to 538's politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.

Feb 11, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich

It's unclear how many violent criminals are among those ICE has arrested. The Trump administration has pushed to increase deportationsABC News, Jason Redmond/AFP, GettyOne of President Donald Trump's chief priorities — to conduct the "largest deportation program of criminals in the history of America" — is well underway. According to both media reports and official data, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has been increasing the number of arrests of people allegedly in the country illegally.