Nathaniel Rakich

2 months ago | baseballot.substack.com | Nathaniel Rakich

Back in 2012—when it was still in its New York Times era—FiveThirtyEight had a feature called Reads and Reactions. Essentially, Micah Cohen—who was one of just two FiveThirtyEight employees at the time, along with a guy named Nate Silver—rounded up some good pieces of data journalism from around the internet (the “reads”) and other articles engaging with what Nate had written that week (the “reactions”).

2 months ago | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich

It's an unpredictable year, but other award shows give us a clue. This year's Oscars are tough to predict. ABC News, Adobe538 has forecasted a lot of elections in its day, from the worlds of politics to sports to entertainment. But without a doubt, the Oscars are the most fun (probably because they're also the lowest-stakes).

2 months ago | abcnews.go.com | Monica Potts |Nathaniel Rakich

Plus, polling on U.S. expansion, the Russia-Ukraine war and approval of Trump. ByMonica Potts and Nathaniel RakichFebruary 19, 2025, 1:23 PMWelcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls. Andrew Harnik/Getty, Chip Somodevilla/Getty, AdobeWelcome to Pollapalooza, our occasional polling column.

Feb 13, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich |Tia Yang |Monica Potts |G. Elliott Morris

Economists agree they would raise prices, and Americans agree that would be bad. ByNathaniel Rakich, Tia Yang, Monica Potts, and G. Elliott MorrisFebruary 13, 2025, 5:33 PMWelcome to 538's latest politics chat. Welcome to 538's politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.

Feb 11, 2025 | abcnews.go.com | Nathaniel Rakich

It's unclear how many violent criminals are among those ICE has arrested. The Trump administration has pushed to increase deportationsABC News, Jason Redmond/AFP, GettyOne of President Donald Trump's chief priorities — to conduct the "largest deportation program of criminals in the history of America" — is well underway. According to both media reports and official data, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has been increasing the number of arrests of people allegedly in the country illegally.