Jessica Taylor

1 week ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s announcement on Tuesday that he will run for governor in 2026 instead of seeking a second term in the Senate creates a wide-open opportunity for Republicans. And even though the former Auburn football coach has been telegraphing his gubernatorial play for some time now, not a lot of candidates have been huddled at the line of scrimmage to run just yet — so it may take some time for the full field of play to come into view.

2 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Just over four years ago, Louisiana Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy committed a cardinal sin for the GOP in the age of Donald Trump — voting to convict the then-former president on impeachment charges after the storming of the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. That vote — and a change in Louisiana’s primary rules — has thrown the once comfortably reelected senator into his toughest race yet. He will face at least one GOP challenger and is in real danger of being ousted.

3 weeks ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Back in December, it looked like Arizona Republican Karrin Taylor Robson was on a glide path to winning the gubernatorial nomination she was denied in 2022 and then taking on Gov. Katie Hobbs, seen as the most vulnerable Democratic governor in the country. President Donald Trump had just praised Robson at a Turning Point USA event, pledging his support. “Karrin, are you running for governor?” Trump asked. “Because if you do, you're going to have my support.”But once Rep.

1 month ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp will not run for Senate in 2026, leaving Republicans without a clear frontrunner to challenge Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff. Ossoff remains the GOP’s top Senate target next year, given that he’s the only Democratic incumbent running in a state that President Trump carried. But without Kemp in the race, a large and potentially divisive Republican primary looms which could produce a damaged or controversial nominee.

1 month ago | cookpolitical.com | Jessica Taylor

The Virginia governor’s race is officially set, with both Democrat Abigail Spanberger and Republican Winsome Earle-Sears avoiding a primary. This means that the commonwealth will elect its first female governor come November. When we initially rated this contest in December, we put the race in Toss Up, given the absence of early polling and the uncertainty of the political climate before Donald Trump’s second term began.