Articles

  • Dec 2, 2024 | brookings.edu | John J. DiIulio

    Editor's note: In 2024, just as in 2016 and 2020, Trump won big among working-class white evangelicals but lost majorities of blue-collar blacks, Latinos, and non-evangelical whites. A less than 1% shift in the “blue wall” states would have tipped the Electoral College to Harris, and a less than 1% shift nationally would have given her the popular vote as well.

  • Dec 2, 2024 | brookings.edu | John J. DiIulio

    Editor's note: In 2024, just as in 2016 and 2020, Trump won big among working-class white evangelicals but lost majorities of blue-collar blacks, Latinos, and non-evangelical whites. A less than 1% shift in the “blue wall” states would have tipped the Electoral College to Harris, and a less than 1% shift nationally would have given her the popular vote as well.

  • Nov 18, 2024 | brookings.edu | John J. DiIulio

    During the 2024 presidential primaries, then-former President Donald Trump vowed to strip federal employees of their job protections and “shatter the deep state.” Several other contenders for the GOP nomination echoed Trump.

  • Nov 15, 2024 | persuasion.community | John J. DiIulio |Yascha Mounk

    This article is brought to you by American Purpose, the magazine and community founded by Francis Fukuyama in 2020, which is now proudly part of the Persuasion family. by John J. DiIulio, Jr.Writing here in late October, I asked whether it was “time for truth in polling.” Pollsters, I suggested, need to become far more transparent about their methods and their limitations.

  • Oct 24, 2024 | persuasion.community | John J. DiIulio |Yascha Mounk

    By John J. DiIulio, Jr.Writing in early July for Public Discourse, I summarized the case against trusting this year’s presidential election polls. I cited a major report by leading academic experts documenting that pre-election polling was bad in 2016 and worse in 2020. In fact, in 2020, the national polls, whether conducted by phone or online, and for all types of samples, were the worst in 40 years.

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