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3 weeks ago | 
cnas.org | Ed McGrady |Samuel Bendett |Tom Shugart |Josh Wallin
In the 1990s, following the Soviet Union’s collapse, few in Washington were thinking about China as a potential future threat. During this “unipolar moment,” the conventional wisdom held that China would become a responsible stakeholder of the global community once it had become a fully integrated member. Inside the Pentagon, however, a group of analysts charged with assessing the strategic environment saw things differently.
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1 month ago | 
cnas.org | Paul Scharre |Caleb Withers |Josh Wallin
Executive SummaryWith each passing year, the promise of artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomy to change the character of war inches closer to reality. This technology will continue to expand the pace, volume, and scope of future conflict, as seen in reports of basic autonomy used in Ukraine to guide drones or in Israel’s reported use of AI to perform targeting in Gaza.
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Mar 5, 2024 | 
cnas.org | Josh Wallin |Briana Reilly
Josh Wallin, a fellow in the Center for a New American Security’s defense program, predicted that DOD’s planned AI expenditures would be “relatively safe” in future budgets — especially compared with major acquisition programs, for example, where there’s a tendency to lower production quantities of certain systems to free up money.
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Dec 12, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Franz-Stefan Gady |Franz-stefan Gady |Andrew Metrick |Josh Wallin
Some analysts, however, argue that the Ukrainian advance has been stopped by something much more fundamental than minefields and trenches: the changing character of warfare itself. The advent of pervasive surveillance, these observers argue, has created a newly transparent battlefield.
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Dec 3, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Sam Howell |Josh Wallin
The possible strategic advantages of quantum computing, a subfield of quantum information science that leverages quantum mechanics to solve complex problems at unprecedented speeds, are numerous and significant. Several technical bottlenecks still prevent quantum computers from delivering impactful real-world effects, but quantum technology is maturing rapidly, with implications for the Quad partners’ civilian and military sectors.
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Nov 29, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Sam Howell |Josh Wallin |Vivek Chilukuri
Technology is a central front in the strategic competition between the U.S. and China. Beijing and Washington both understand that whichever nation leads in key emerging technologies could unlock decisive advantages — from an advanced AI that can supercharge battlefield decision-making to a quantum computer that can unlock every encrypted secret. If the dangers of falling behind in the global tech race are obvious, so is the best way for America to stay ahead: high-skilled immigration reform.
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Nov 13, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Sam Howell |Josh Wallin |Bill Drexel |Hannah Kelley
This fall, the Western world has galvanized around a blitz of AI initiatives, statements and multilateral deals — not least the Biden administration’s executive order and the U.K.’s Bletchley declaration — all geared to setting global rules for a fast-moving, competitive and possibly dangerous new technology. China is taking a different path, one that could give it a lead while the West talks.
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Nov 9, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Andrew Metrick |Josh Wallin |Franz-Stefan Gady |Franz-stefan Gady
I’m just a defense analyst, so I’ll leave a proper critique of Ridley Scott’s new blockbuster biopic Napoleon to the many reviewers who have already disparaged it. I, for one, found it to be a lukewarm mélange of battle scenes and romantic vignettes, leaving me with neither a sense of the man Napoleon Bonaparte—the bicorne-hatted soldier-turned-emperor of the French—nor a feel for the age of upheaval he so much defined.
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Nov 3, 2023 | 
themessenger.com | Josh Wallin
With an executive order (EO) released on Monday, the Biden administration has taken a major first step in supporting safe and reliable artificial intelligence (AI) innovation, while tackling some of the greatest risks that the technology poses.
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Nov 2, 2023 | 
cnas.org | Josh Wallin |Sam Howell
This article was originally published in Italian by Formiche, this English version was provided by the author. The country that leads the development and deployment of 6G—the next generation of wireless telecommunications—will control critical infrastructure that is integral to global economic competitiveness, national security, and the functioning of society. 6G is thus a key battleground of U.S.-China technology competition.
