Junmei Ban

Sep 4, 2023 | rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com | David Bromwich |Byrd Polar |Junmei Ban |Zhiquan Liu

Intense summer cyclones disrupt the sea ice cover of the Arctic Ocean and are an important factor in its continuing demise. These cyclones can be challenging to forecast more than three days in advance. This study employs a regional forecast model optimized for Arctic conditions in conjunction with an advanced method to produce starting conditions for the model prediction. A highly accurate cyclone forecast was obtained five days ahead with forecast skill continuing for a further two days.