Maxim Lott

New York

Executive Producer at Stossel TV

Executive producer for John Stossel. Creator of https://t.co/xlDGsCsHgt and https://t.co/JrJRpJZIZX Follow my data deep dives here:

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Articles

IQ Test | Tracking AI

2 weeks ago | trackingai.org | Maxim Lott

Update: Claude 3.5 Sonnet now added! Check it out. Monitoring Artificial Intelligence Select an AI: DAILY MOVING AVERAGE Subscribe to my Substack page to receive more updates! AI Latest Update Times AIs regularly request and update. F.A.Q Frequently Asked Questions Why Build TrackingAI? I created this website so that anyone can immediately see up-to-date AI chatbot political opinions and biases.
Tracking AI

2 months ago | trackingai.org | Maxim Lott

Select an AI: DAILY MOVING AVERAGE Subscribe to my Substack page to receive more updates! AI Latest Update Times AIs regularly request and update. F.A.Q Frequently Asked Questions Why Build TrackingAI? I created this website so that anyone can immediately see up-to-date AI chatbot political opinions and biases. I hope that will be useful in a couple ways: It informs users about the ideologies of the AIs they use.
China's Deepseek is NOT as smart as ChatGPT-o1

2 months ago | maximumtruth.org | Maxim Lott

The AI world is exploding over news of the new Chinese AI “Deepseek”. The US stock market plunged Monday, likely on news that the US now has serious competition when it comes to AI. Deepseek has set some impressive performance benchmarks, and is also nearly tying ChatGPT-4o in the Chatbot arena, where users rank AI answers. But how does Deepseek do on measures of pure intelligence? I’ve now run the IQ tests. On my site TrackingAI.org, we regularly give AIs IQ tests.
Election Betting Odds

Jan 23, 2025 | electionbettingodds.com | Maxim Lott |John Stossel

32.2% -0.5% in last 4hr in last day in last wk CHARTS 30.3% 0.4% 27.2% 0.3% 10.3% -0.2% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0% 0.0% +0.0%...
Election Betting Updates

Nov 3, 2024 | maximumtruth.org | Maxim Lott

There have been many twists and turns in the Presidential betting over the last month. I’ve been following them all closely, because I run ElectionBettingOdds.com, so I’ll share what I’ve observed:Here’s where the betting odds stand right now, along with the graph over the last month:Looking at the start of the graph, bettors bid up Trump’s odds for a while, front-running the polling changes.
The Rational Case for Trump

Oct 22, 2024 | maximumtruth.org | Maxim Lott

Note: The counterpart to this essay, The Rational Case forHarris, is also available on the homepage at maximumtruth.org. The US election is coming up! We’re flooded with talking points, but I haven’t seen a singlearticle going through the issues and earnestly making a case for a candidate. Everyone thinks it’s “obvious” why their candidate is better. It’s not obvious!So today, I’m simultaneously posting the strongest possible case for Harris, and also for Trump.
DEEP DIVE: Is voting rational? In swing states, YES

Oct 17, 2024 | maximumtruth.org | Maxim Lott

The conventional wisdom is “everyone should vote. Do your civic duty!” But I’m in enough contrarian circles that I also hear “I don’t vote, because voting is irrational. A single vote never determines an election.”Are the critics right? Before researching this post, I assumed that they were right about a single vote being irrelevant for Presidential elections.
Open thread #6: AI now has an IQ of 120. Does it matter?

Sep 15, 2024 | exponentialview.co | Azeem Azhar |Maxim Lott

OpenAI’s o1 model may be quite smart. put it through its paces on an unseen IQ test. It rocked in at 120. One-and-a-third standard deviations above the mean would put it above 95% of humans. From Maximum Truth by Maxim Lott (my orange arrow and smiley)Let’s assume this is a correct and replicable result. We should also recognise that, in humans, while …
Massive breakthrough in AI intelligence: OpenAI passes IQ 120

Sep 14, 2024 | maximumtruth.org | Maxim Lott

Worried about AI taking over the world? You probably should be. That’s my new takeaway after testing OpenAI’s new model, “o1” this morning. It blows all other AIs out of the water on the Norway Mensa IQ test:I had become blasé about AI progress after my initial tests in February, because there was approximately zero IQ improvement since then. This week, that all changed. Specifically, o1 got 25 out of 35 IQ questions correct, far above what most humans get.
Moral Mayhem with Maxim Lott: Election Betting Markets, Presidential Debate and Norm Violations in American Politics

Sep 12, 2024 | moralmayhem.substack.com | Vaishnav Sunil |Maxim Lott

Audio playback is not supported on your browser. Please upgrade. In this episode, we sit down with (author of Maximum Truth) to dive into prediction markets, focusing on election betting markets. We explore liquidity, market depth, and whether concerns over market manipulation hold water. We also indulge in some meta-political analysis, offering our intuitions on the best arguments and tail risks for each candidate in the current race.