Articles
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1 week ago |
thearmchairtrader.com | Chris Weston |Michael Brown
Surely this week can’t be quite as crazy as last. Surely?! No, I’m not going to take my chances on that one either, given how choppy things have been of late. By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist, PepperstoneAnyway, Friday. Another day, another tariff. At least that was the main macro theme, with China upping their levy on US goods imports to 125%, in retaliation to the retaliatory tariffs that were retaliation for retaliatory tariffs imposed earlier last week.
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3 weeks ago |
thearmchairtrader.com | Chris Weston |Michael Brown
We saw a risk-averse end to the week on Friday, with haven demand notable across the board, as participants once more trimmed exposures into the weekend, cognisant of potential gapping risks. By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist, PepperstoneFriday, on the whole, was a day that lacked significant catalysts, at least those that materially moved the needle in terms of the broader outlook.
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2 months ago |
thearmchairtrader.com | Chris Weston |Michael Brown
President Trump’s first week in office left market participants largely unperturbed, though the week ahead brings not only another spell of headline-watching, but also a busy calendar of policy decisions, and corporate earnings. By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at PepperstoneWhen sitting down to write this week’s note, the first phrase that springs to mind is ‘damp squib’.
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Jan 20, 2025 |
thearmchairtrader.com | Chris Weston |Michael Brown
Stocks and Treasuries both gained last week after cool US core CPI figures, while the UK’s economic ‘doom and gloom’ persisted. This week, all eyes are on Donald Trump’s return to the Oval Office. By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at PepperstoneThe US inflationary backdrop was participants main focus last week, with cooler than expected core CPI, and PPI, figures sparking a modest dovish reassessment of FOMC policy expectations, though caution remains advisable.
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Jan 13, 2025 |
thearmchairtrader.com | Chris Weston |Michael Brown
By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at PepperstoneWe move on from what was a quite remarkable week for US economic data, where the words “accelerating”, “resilient” and “exceptional” were heard liberally on the floors. Importantly, something shifted in the market’s reaction function, with good data evidently resulting in traders taking down their equity risk and buying USDs, volatility and gold.
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