Articles

  • 3 weeks ago | lgafirst.co.uk | Professors Colin Rallings |Michael Thrasher

    The council elections on 1 May opened a fissure in the pattern of local government in England. Everybody assumed that Reform UK was going to do well but the scale of its victory came as a surprise, with the party winning nearly 700 council seats from a standing start. Much of the discussion among other political parties since has been about the potential longer-term implications of the Reform surge.

  • 1 month ago | lgcplus.com | Colin Rallings |Michael Thrasher

    The proportion of votes needed to win a seat tumbled to its lowest ever, one of a number of nadirs in a remarkable set of local elections, write psephologists Colin Rallings and Michael ThrasherReform UK achieved one of the most remarkable local election performances, gaining almost 700 seats, majority control of 10 of the councils being contested, and two of the combined authority mayors.

  • 1 month ago | thetimes.com | Colin Rallings |Michael Thrasher

  • 1 month ago | thetimes.com | Colin Rallings |Michael Thrasher

  • 1 month ago | news.sky.com | Michael Thrasher

    Based on an analysis of 1,067 of 1,400 voting areas, the current national share estimate puts Reform on 32%. This is the first time that a party other than Conservative or Labour has led at this stage of the votes being counted. Labour is currently placed second on 19% with the Conservatives only one point behind on 18%. This is the lowest total for both parties individually and combined since 1973 when these estimates were first calculated. The Liberal Democrats have 16% with the Greens on 7%.

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Michael Thrasher
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