Articles

  • Jan 16, 2025 | rand.org | Michelle Grisé |Mark R. Cozad

    The Ukraine war has often been characterized as a precipitating factor in the growing alignment of the United States' key adversaries—China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea—and it is true that the conflict in Ukraine has incentivized greater cooperation between the members of this quartet. The fall of the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria may bring America's four most dangerous antagonists closer together still, at least for now.

  • Jul 5, 2024 | rand.org | Michelle Grisé

    This piece is part of a commentary series on the upcoming NATO summit in Washington in which RAND researchers explore important strategic questions for the alliance as NATO confronts a historic moment, navigating both promise and peril. As the fighting in Ukraine grinds on, Western policymakers and military officials are thinking ahead to the next war.

  • Jul 3, 2024 | thecipherbrief.com | Michelle Grisé

    Posted: July 3rd, 2024 OPINION — As the fighting in Ukraine grinds on, Western policymakers and military officials are thinking ahead to the next war. Given how fast Russia is reconstituting its military, they are asking, when might it be able militarily to launch another large-scale offensive operation? German Chief of Defense Carsten Breuer told reporters in April that a Russian attack on NATO soil could be possible within five to eight years.

  • Apr 12, 2024 | rand.org | Michelle Grisé

    An Israeli airstrike on an Iranian embassy in Syria last week three IRGC-QF generals and four other Iranian military officers. Iran is expected to retaliate in the coming days or weeks.

  • Apr 11, 2024 | nationalinterest.org | Michelle Grisé

    An Israeli airstrike on an Iranian embassy in Syria last week three IRGC-QF generals and four other Iranian military officers. Iran is expected to retaliate in the coming days or weeks.

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