Nate Silver

1 week ago | natesilver.net | Nate Silver |Eli Mckown-Dawson

We’re excited to announce that we’ve added two new features to our Trump approval ratings dashboard. First, we’re now tracking his approval ratings on a series of issues that have been especially salient early on in his presidency: the economy, immigration, trade/tariffs, and inflation:As you can see, the issue approval pattern from Trump’s first term — when the economy was generally his strongest issue, but he was often fighting losing battles on the “culture wars” — has somewhat reversed.

1 week ago | natesilver.net | Nate Silver

A quick housekeeping note: April was a very busy month, and I’m still evaluating applications for theAssistant Sports Analyst position. No candidates have been contacted yet, and I greatly appreciate your patience. My goal is to block out time this weekend and contact all candidates by early next week. Welcome to edition #20 of Silver Bulletin Subscriber Questions (SBSQ). This month’s version was originally going to be headlined “SBSQ #20: 5 strategy questions, 100 days in”.

2 weeks ago | natesilver.net | Eli Mckown-Dawson |Nate Silver

Today, Canadians will head to the polls to decide how to form their next government. Throughout 2023 and 2024, polling suggested the country’s next federal election would be a rout for the Conservative Party. Justin Trudeau — Canada’s previous prime minister and a member of the Liberal Party — was deeply unpopular, and it looked like Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre would have no trouble replacing him. Something changed in 2025.

2 weeks ago | natesilver.net | Nate Silver

I’ve written a lot in the newsletter about the damaging effects of President Trump’s tariffs on the economy. I’ve also written about the detrimental impact that Elon Musk has had on the government. (There’s a version of DOGE I can imagine supporting … but that’s not the DOGE we got.) I hadn’t gotten around to writing about Trump’s inappropriate pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell — but that’s been another place where Trump has dangerously overstepped his boundaries.

3 weeks ago | natesilver.net | Nate Silver

This is a longpost, so I’m going to put a subscribe button right up here at the top. But today’s newsletter is free, considering the importance of the debate.