
G. Elliott Morris
editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks
Articles
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2 weeks ago |
chriscillizza.substack.com | Chris Cillizza |G. Elliott Morris
Remember when I told you last week that Donald Trump‚Äôs decision to push forward on tariffs was a massive self-inflicted wound? My friend has the receipts. In the six national polls taken since ‚ÄúLiberation Day‚ÄĚ last Wednesday, Trump‚Äôs approval rating dropped by an average of more than 7 points. Here‚Äôs Elliott‚Äôs chart (from his terrific Substack):Pretty striking stuff, right?
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1 month ago |
gelliottmorris.substack.com | G. Elliott Morris
I am intending the Chart of the Week newsletter to be a quick reaction to recent news, a picture worth 1,000 words on the past seven days of headlines. This week, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to effectively dissolve the Department of Education, which is underwater among voters by 30 points. And his surrogates have started a campaign against the “activist judges” ruling against the administration’s various overreaches of executive power.
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1 month ago |
gelliottmorris.substack.com | G. Elliott Morris
This is a short post about how mass opinion toward Trump is decidedly not positive and changing fast. His weakness on economic issues in particular is worth viewing in the light of recent anti-incumbent sentiment around the globe. Could he suffer a similar fate to Biden or Trudeau? As I wrote in my post last Friday, I hope to write more articles like this on my Substack as I figure out what's next post-ABC News/FiveThirtyEight.
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1 month ago |
gelliottmorris.substack.com | G. Elliott Morris
Welcome back. It has been a while. First, let me address the elephant in the room: Last week, ABC News fired the entirety of the (small) remaining staff at FiveThirtyEight (or 538, as they rebranded it in July 2023), including me. Needless to say this is a huge loss for journalism. The 13 people I worked with were some of the smartest, kindest and most talented journalists I have ever met.
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1 month ago |
abcnews.go.com | G. Elliott Morris
Our look at nearly 300 poll questions finds Trump is more popular than Trumpism. Some of President Donald Trump's proposals are popular, but more are unpopularABC News, AP Photo/Manuel Balce CenetaIn a press conference in the Oval Office with President Donald Trump last week, Elon Musk, the tech billionaire and the president's senior adviser, was asked whether the administration's sweeping cuts to government programs reflected the will of the voters.
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has anyone produced a good estimate of how many manufacturing jobs might be lost in a moderate to severe recession?

After launching in South Carolina, the non-profit State Navigate project (tracking a bunch of data + reporting on state politics and state legislatures) is looking for audience input on which state to expand into next:

In a few weeks, we will have finished our first state, which will serve as a framework for building out elsewhere. What state should we launch in next? You decide! Check out the latest issue of our newsletter to see how: https://t.co/hOq81Jmh3Z

we are mere days away from benny johnson tweeting "it's good for you when bond yields go up, since it means you get paid more money for your risk!"

Long-term bond yields are blowing out again https://t.co/aSukz2nAJ8