G. Elliott Morris

1 month ago | gelliottmorris.com | G. Elliott Morris |David Nir

I was very kindly joined by David Nir of The Downballot on Tuesday to talk about the (successful, IMO!) launch of Strength In Numbers this week, and give a sneak peek at our first poll publishing tomorrow (Wednesday, May 14). The first few minutes will be familiar to readers because we are giving a wider audience on the Substack App the low-down on what we do here at Strength In Numbers. But the rest will be fresh for you.

1 month ago | the-downballot.com | David Nir |Aaron Rupar |G. Elliott Morris

On the latest edition of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with data journalist G. Elliott Morris all about Trump’s sagging job approval ratings. Elliott, who previously ran the seminal site 538, recently launched his own Substack, Strength In Numbers, which you can subscribe to here:On the show, Elliott tells us:Why history suggests Trump’s numbers could go much lower by the midterms—and could even put the Senate in play.

2 months ago | chriscillizza.substack.com | Chris Cillizza |G. Elliott Morris

Conventional wisdom among people who follow politics is that polling — especially at the presidential level — is getting worse. That the decline of landlines, peoples’ refusal to answer the phone and the weird ways in which the electorate is both expanding and shrinking make polling the equivalent of throwing darts at a dartboard while blind-folded. Not true, according to , who writes the Substack.

2 months ago | chriscillizza.substack.com | Chris Cillizza |G. Elliott Morris

Remember when I told you last week that Donald Trump‚Äôs decision to push forward on tariffs was a massive self-inflicted wound? My friend has the receipts. In the six national polls taken since ‚ÄúLiberation Day‚ÄĚ last Wednesday, Trump‚Äôs approval rating dropped by an average of more than 7 points. Here‚Äôs Elliott‚Äôs chart (from his terrific Substack):Pretty striking stuff, right?

Mar 21, 2025 | gelliottmorris.substack.com | G. Elliott Morris

I am intending the Chart of the Week newsletter to be a quick reaction to recent news, a picture worth 1,000 words on the past seven days of headlines. This week, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to effectively dissolve the Department of Education, which is underwater among voters by 30 points. And his surrogates have started a campaign against the “activist judges” ruling against the administration’s various overreaches of executive power.