Philip E. Tetlock

Sep 14, 2023 | link.springer.com | Cory Clark |Philip E. Tetlock

AbstractThe behavioral sciences have taken a substantial reputational hit over the past decade. Some highly publicized findings have failed to replicate, and many highly touted “science-based” interventions have failed to produce promised positive social change—even when massive efforts are dedicated to making them work.

Jan 23, 2023 | researchgate.net | Cory Clark |Maja Graso |Ilana Redstone |Philip E. Tetlock

HARM HYPERVIGILANCE 11 Consistent with our primary preregistered hypotheses, Table 1 and the top left quadrant of Figure 1 show that for all scientific findings, participants overestimated harmful reactions with effect sizes ranging from small/medium to large/very large. We did not preregister hypotheses for the other kinds of behavioral reactions, but in nearly all cases, the results are conceptually consistent with the “harm hypervigilance” hypothesis.