Richard Keane

Aug 23, 2023 | rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com | Neil MurphyPaul Ward |Dean Walker |Richard Keane |John Marsham

1 INTRODUCTION It is well established that East Africa (EA) seasonal forecast skill for March–May (MAM, long rains) is currently much lower than that for the October–December short rains (e.g., Batté & Déqué, 2011; Dutra et al., 2013; Mwangi et al., 2014; Walker et al., 2019).