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Tom McClellan

Lakewood

Technical Analyst and Editor at McClellan Financial Publications

Technical Analyst - Editor of The McClellan Market Report. Trying to figure out stock market physics, and to leave my campsite cleaner than how I found it.

Articles

  • 1 week ago | mcoscillator.com | Tom McClellan

    Crude oil prices peaked on January 15, 2025, just before the inauguration of President Trump, when expectations were running high for strong economic growth. The economy has not turned out that way thus far, and oil prices have fallen to multiyear lows. One effect of that has been that the large "backwardation" in crude oil futures in January has now receded.

  • 2 weeks ago | mcoscillator.com | Tom McClellan

    The University of Michigan has been conducting its survey of consumer sentiment since 1955. They made big news last week when they announced that the preliminary reading for the month of May 2025 (reflecting only partial readings for the month) was at 50.8. That is one of the lowest readings in the survey’s history, and it reflects the uncertainty that the consumers are feeling in the first months of President Trump’s term, especially with all of the tariff battles.

  • 1 month ago | mcoscillator.com | Tom McClellan

    At the bottom of the "Liberation Day" Trump Tariff Crash, sentiment was very bearish with a lot of options traders favoring put options versus calls. That sent the 5-day simple moving average of the daily Put/Call Volume Ratio to its highest reading since August 2024, which was when a rate hike by the Bank of Japan scared everyone by disrupting the "yen carry trade".

  • 1 month ago | mcoscillator.com | Tom McClellan

    The price low on April 8, 2025 was unusual because it coincided with the highest reading for stocks making a new 52-week low on the NYSE. Usually the number of New Lows peaks before the final price low. One point that is important to understand about the data for New Highs and New Lows is that the calculations employ intraday extremes.

  • 1 month ago | mcoscillator.com | Tom McClellan

    By now I hope that all of my readers are already familiar with the McClellan A-D Oscillator, the famous indicator that my parents Sherman and Marian McClellan created in 1969. I want to talk in this article about a derivative indicator related to the Oscillator. This week's chart shows a plot of the daily value for Advances minus Declines (A-D) that would be needed to take the Oscillator exactly to zero.

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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc
8 Jun 25

What's up with the shelf/ledge formed in the plot by those in late 40s to early 50s? I'm guessing peak alcoholism leading to more drunk driving arrests, but that's just a wild guess.

Tony Heller
Tony Heller @TonyClimate

26 year olds are arrested more often in Pittsburgh than any other age group. https://t.co/W3g4trKiC2 https://t.co/53ST203IDO

Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc
8 Jun 25

Not as much as falling inflation does. (Chart not up to date). https://t.co/vbUFFWnhZf

Scott Adams
Scott Adams @ScottAdamsSays

An aging population gets you lower murder rates too.

Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc
7 Jun 25

RT @ChrisMartzWX: Climate alarmists tell us that U.S. wildfire seasons are worse than ever. 🔥 But, here's what they don't tell you: • Fir…