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Tony Hughes

London

Columnist at Risk Intelligence

Tony Hughes. Columnist for the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) and Managing Director at Moody's Analytics.

Articles

  • 1 week ago | garp.org | Tony Hughes

    Current time: 1750421948218 | Jun 20, 2025 8:19:08 AM SCR®, RAI™, and FRM® Exam Updates Beginning May 1 Start date: 1744761600000 | Apr 15, 2025 8:00:00 PM End date: 1746748800000 | May 8, 2025 8:00:00 PM Featured ColumnBy: Tony HughesTopical perspectives on risk analytics, regulation, credit loss forecasting, traditional risk modeling and AI methodologies.

  • 1 month ago | garp.org | Tony Hughes

    Whenever a bank considers the construction or purchase of a new model, the first decision they must take is always, “should we or shouldn’t we?” This decision, which is not well covered by existing model risk management practices, actually carries quite a bit of risk for a bank. Tony HughesTo illustrate, consider two hypothetical banks with the same target market, business model and broad attitude to risk.

  • Mar 14, 2025 | garp.org | Tony Hughes

    The use of generative AI in banking is now pretty well established. It’s currently used for a variety of tasks, and its strengths and weaknesses are becoming more obvious. If the technology was an employee, given its highly unusual set of skills, its probationary period would have ended and its future would be considered bright by most senior managers. Tony HughesBut the new employee has not yet shown that it is completely trustworthy.

  • Jan 31, 2025 | garp.org | Tony Hughes

    The Federal Reserve is now being sued, by the American Banking Association and other lobby groups, about the opaqueness and fairness of its stress testing framework. Though the central bank has heard complaints about CCAR, its annual capital adequacy stress test, in the past, it’s possible the lawsuit could yield significant stress testing changes. This is obviously important news for credit risk practitioners.

  • Nov 22, 2024 | garp.org | Tony Hughes

    The recent election of scandal-scarred Donald Trump to a second term as U.S. president may appear to be an anomaly – but it is consistent with a well-established global trend. Since the pandemic, incumbents in western democracies have lost 40 of 54 elections. These losses have occurred irrespective of tenure or whether the incumbent was on the left or right on the political spectrum. Tony HughesHow might all this political upheaval impact central banks?

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