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Oct 27, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy
This is a linkpost for https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLsJ9q3OrsguSWfFd1gO1OY64eKahKMFc2
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May 11, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy |Shoshannah Tekofsky |Seth Herd
This is a special post for quick takes by. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page
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May 10, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy
Linked is my MSc thesis, where I do regret analysis for an infra-Bayesian generalization of stochastic linear bandits. The main significance that I see in this work is:Expanding our understanding of infra-Bayesian regret bounds, and solidifying our confidence that infra-Bayesianism is a viable approach.
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May 2, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy
The beauty industry offers a large variety of skincare products (marketed mostly at women), differing both in alleged function and (substantially) in price. However, it's pretty hard to test for yourself how much any of these product help. The feedback loop for things like "getting less wrinkles" is very long. So, which of these products are actually useful and which are mostly a waste of money? Are more expensive products actually better or just have better branding? How can I find out?
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Apr 21, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy
This was a project conducted during MATS 5.0 under the mentorship of Vanessa Kosoy and supported by a grant from BERI. It builds off the String Machines framework (and depends on the linked post for certain definitions), which models category-theoretic generalizations of finite-state transducers.
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Jan 1, 2024 | 
lesswrong.com | Daniel Kokotajlo |Gerald M. Monroe |Vanessa Kosoy
Lots of people have made AI predictions in 2023. Here I compile a subset. I have a habit of setting an email reminder for the date of the prediction, when I see AI predictions, so that when they are resolved I can point out their accuracy or inaccuracy. I have compiled most of the email reminders from 2023 in chronological format (predictions with an early to late target date). I'm planning to make these posts yearly, checking in on predictions whose date has expired.
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Dec 31, 2023 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy |Roger Dearnaley |Roman Leventov |Mateusz Bagiński
I call "alignment strategy" the high-level approach to solving the technical problem. For example, value learning is one strategy, while delegating alignment research to AI is another. I call "alignment metastrategy" the high-level approach to converging on solving the technical problem in a manner which is timely and effective. (Examples will follow.)In a previous article, I summarized my criticism of prosaic alignment. However, my analysis of the associated metastrategy was too sloppy.
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Dec 27, 2023 | 
lesswrong.com | Vanessa Kosoy
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Dec 4, 2023 | 
lesswrong.com | Ben Pace |Alex Vermillion |Adam S. Jermyn |Vanessa Kosoy
The snow is falling, the carols are starting, and we all know it's time for our favorite winter holiday tradition. It's LessWrong review time!Each year we come together and review posts that are at least one year old. That means for the next two months we are reviewing all posts from 2022.
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Sep 28, 2023 | 
lesswrong.com | Garrett Baker |Vanessa Kosoy |Nathaniel Monson |Julian Bradshaw
When Stanislav Petrov's missile alert system pinged, the world was not watching. Russia was not watching. Perhaps a number of superiors in the military were staying in the loop about Stanislav's outpost, waiting for updates. It wasn't theatre. In contrast, LessWrong's historical Petrov Day celebrations have been pretty flashy affairs. Great big red buttons, intimidating countdown timers, and all that. That's probably not what the next "don't destroy the world" moment will look like.
