Volodymyr Dubovyk

1 month ago | cepa.org | Volodymyr Dubovyk |Ben R. Hodges |Dan Rice |Michael Peck

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy keeps coming back to security in all his meetings and public statements, not because he is being stubborn or inflexible, or pursuing personal interests served by opposing peace, but because he is reflecting the mood of Ukrainians. Whether those Ukrainian requirements are being heard may emerge from talks between Russia and the US slated for March 18. The signs are not promising.

2 months ago | cepa.org | Kseniya Kirillova |James Thomson |Volodymyr Dubovyk |Mitzi Perdue

A group of exiled Russian economists argued late last year that the Russian economy can sustain the war in Ukraine. The three men said in a report that the conflict’s consequences and sanctions, such as high inflation, will be evident in the future but pose no immediate threat to Putin’s regime. That is far from a universally accepted view. Numbers unearthed by former Morgan Stanley and Bank of America financier Craig Kennedy make much less pleasant reading for the Kremlin.

2 months ago | cepa.org | Volodymyr Dubovyk |James Thomson |Mitzi Perdue |David Kirichenko

It’s not just the return of Donald Trump that has increased the prospects of peace talks on Ukraine. The war is total, protracted, and the worst kind of attritional conflict with a huge toll on both sides. Kyiv’s ability to keep fighting is being harshly tested, while Russia, even with its clear advantage in mass and personnel, is exhausted and can’t sustain its current commitment and casualties indefinitely.

Sep 3, 2024 | cepa.org | Elisabeth Braw |Volodymyr Dubovyk |David Kirichenko

Perhaps it was only a matter of time. Now the Swedish Security Police, which is in charge of counterintelligence, reports that Russia is scouting out Swedish arms-makers. Kremlin-linked operatives are also conducting disinformation campaigns against defense companies and are even engaging in acts of sabotage. In Germany, the authorities have alerted the logistics industry to a sudden spate of incidents involving parcels catching fire in transit.

Mar 19, 2024 | cepa.org | Volodymyr Dubovyk

A decade ago, on March 18, 2014, Vladimir Putin signed documents to illegally annex Crimea. The request had come from a puppet administration that had organized a rigged referendum. All of which hid the reality; that a sovereign region of Ukraine, a peaceful neighboring country, had been stolen as a result of military action. What followed is well known — Russian forces also moved into the Eastern Ukrainian region of Donbas.