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2 weeks ago | 
abacusdata.ca | Eddie Sheppard |David Coletto
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
With the election campaign now underway, one overarching question looms: is this a campaign about change and scarcity, or about security in a time of deep precarity? Our latest polling points to a country wrestling with competing impulses—on one hand, a strong desire for a shift in direction; on the other, a fear of disruption in a period of uncertainty. At the heart of these competing narratives is what voters identify as their top-of-mind issues.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto |Kelly Bennett
At Abacus Data, we eat, sleep and breathe politics, and we’ve been keeping a close eye on what’s happening across the country as the 2025 federal election gets underway. Today, we’re focusing on Nova Scotia – a province that’s known for its great hospitality, forestry, farming, and vibrant ocean economy.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political landscape on the eve of the 2025 federal election call. The numbers reveal a competitive and fast-evolving race, one that combines the reassembly of old coalitions, erosion in others, and a level of voter interest that outstrips what we saw at this point in 2021.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
From March 10 to 12, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,700 Canadian adults online asking our core federal political tracking questions plus some new questions on Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre. All of the interviews were conducted following Mark Carney’s win in the Liberal leadership election on Sunday. We find that the horse race continues to tighten as the shift in perceptions and priorities continues.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | Eddie Sheppard |David Coletto
Over the past few weeks, tensions between Canada and the United States have intensified, spurred by President Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs and the constant threat of annexation. This heated political landscape has ignited a surge in Canadian patriotism, which is now expressing itself in a very tangible way: through consumer behaviour.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | Eddie Sheppard |David Coletto
For the past few years, Canadians have navigated a scarcity mindset, shaped by housing shortages, rising costs, strained healthcare, and job insecurity. This competition for essential resources fueled frustration, shifting views on immigration, climate change, and housing, driving many voters away from the Trudeau-led Liberals in search of relief. Now, we see a new mindset emerging – one defined by uncertainty. The tariffs imposed by the Trump Administration yesterday only adds to that uncertainty.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
Yesterday’s vote in Ontario delivered Doug Ford and his Progressive Conservatives a historic third-straight majority victory—something not seen in the province since 1959. It was a campaign that, despite a growing desire for change and weeks of speculation about just how potent anger at incumbents would be, ultimately stayed true to the polling narrative that Ford was on track for an impressive win.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
From February 20 to 25, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a nationally representative survey of 1,500 Canadian adults. We find that the horse race continues to tighten as perceptions and impressions shift. The opinion landscape is evolving and looks quite different than the one we have seen over the previous 18 months. Here is what we see:1 – Optimism about the direction of the country hits a two-year high.
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1 month ago | 
abacusdata.ca | David Coletto
On February 24 and 25, 2025, we conducted our final poll of the 2025 Ontario provincial election with a representative online survey of 1,000 eligible voters in Ontario. This is our fourth survey of the campaign in partnership with our media partner The Toronto Star. Our latest results suggest the Ford PCs are headed towards a big majority government, increasing their vote share from our previous poll.