Livewire Markets

Every day, investors face a barrage of market information from all directions. It would be much easier to navigate investing if there was a single source that consolidated all the ideas, commentary, and insights we need. Livewire was established in 2013 with this goal in mind. It has quickly become Australia’s leading investment website, featuring ideas and strategies from numerous reputable fund managers and investment experts—all in one place. Each month, over 300,000 active investors and advisors turn to Livewire for valuable insights, including market trends, stock-specific analyses, broader economic themes, and various investment strategies.

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Seven reasons Australia is likely to avoid recession from Trump’s shock

1 week ago | livewiremarkets.com | Shane Oliver

President Trump’s trade war poses a threat to Australian economic growth particularly via the indirect impact of weaker global activity driving less demand for our exports and lower commodity prices. Australia is likely to avoid a recession though reflecting the shock absorber of a lower $A, plenty of scope to cut interest rates and election promises pointing to handouts ahead. The trade war has a way to go yet but at least Trump is starting to blink.
Trump Just Blinked - He had to - What now?

2 weeks ago | livewiremarkets.com | Marcus Padley

Spooked by the bond market, Trump has walked back Liberation DayWhat's happened? Trump's post on Truth SocialTrump blinked overnight - pausing Tariffs for 90 days on all countries except China. Raised tariffs on China from 104% to 125%. The White House is isolating China. Very dangerous. Keeping a 10% tariff in place for all (?) countries. Sector-specific tariffs (steel, aluminium, autos) are still in place by the looks of it.
Trump Just Blinked - And what to do about it

2 weeks ago | livewiremarkets.com | Marcus Padley

THOUGHTS SO FAR - THIS MAY CHANGE - BIG MORNING Faced with global financial instability - Captain Chaos...blinkedWhat's happened? Trump blinked - pausing Tariffs for 90 days on all countries except China. S&P 500 +9.52%. NASDAQ up 12.16%. Dow Jones up 2952 points (7.87%)Australian SPI Futures up 490 (6.62%). Keeping a 10% tariff in place for all (?) countries. Don't think the sector-specific tariffs (steel, aluminium, autos) are reduced. Still in place.
What the crazy/genius Trump is trying to achieve

2 weeks ago | livewiremarkets.com | Greg Canavan

If you’re a Trump fan, he’s got a grand plan to Make America Great Again. If you’ve got Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS) then he’s an imbecilic madman intent on destroying the world. Only hindsight will give us the correct answer, so it’s not a debate I’m interested in having. What is useful, though, is thinking through the implications of what he’s trying to do…assuming we know that much.
How will we know its the bottom?

2 weeks ago | livewiremarkets.com | Marcus Padley

First up. Be careful before buying. For a few reasons. Selling breeds selling. This is not something we bounce from quickly. The consequences of this sort of market event will only reveal themselves over time. When markets fall, passive funds start working against us. JPMorgan estimates volatility targeting strategies and leveraged ETFs had $US60 billion of stocks they needed to sell on Friday. We were blaming passive funds for blindly buying the market. Watch them now blindly sell it.
Riding the Golden Bull

4 weeks ago | livewiremarkets.com | Michael Goldberg

Why investing in gold is a value playThe early months of 2025 have seen exceptional returns for the price of gold, with gold trading higher by over US$400/oz at approximately US$3,000/oz. Bizarrely, even as gold prices have moved higher, gold equities have significantly underperformed. Indeed, so great is the gap between earnings potential and share prices that many fund managers have launched (or in our case re-opened) gold funds to satiate new investor demand.
7 ETFs to help weather market turbulence

1 month ago | livewiremarkets.com | Hans Lee

It’s been a head-spinning week for investors. Last week, the S&P 500 briefly entered a technical correction a mere one month after it hit an all-time high. Donald Trump’s tariff uncertainty is the cause of this volatility, and its erratic implementation has some commentators now asking whether a “transition”1 is really an impending recession. JPMorgan now puts the chance of a US recession at 40%, while Goldman Sachs has it at 20% (and rising)2.
How To Navigate The Trump Slump?

1 month ago | livewiremarkets.com | Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

Financial markets are now, broadly measured, divided into two categories of people, as is in fact the global population, including those who do not actively invest: -those who look at events unfolding from the perspective that nothing fundamentally has changed, waiting for 'old' dynamics to re-assert themselves in due course -those who instinctively, or otherwise, sense things are changing, but there are no answers yet available as to what exactly the end outcome might be The division between...
6 ETFs for the income investor who doesn’t want Big Bank share price risk

1 month ago | livewiremarkets.com | Hans Lee

The Australian sharemarket’s reputation as a dividend haven has come into question over the last 12 to 18 months. While the ASX 200’s price-to-earnings ratio has continued to rise to levels well beyond its historical average, both the dividend and earnings yields of the index have fallen substantially. Theory and history suggest this isn’t normal, given earnings and dividends normally inform each other.
Gold is booming

1 month ago | livewiremarkets.com | Michael Goldberg

Following the surge in gold prices in 2024 and increased demand in the equities market, Collins Street is reopening its gold and precious metals fund for a limited time only during March - April 2025 for wholesale and sophisticated investors. In April 2023, Collins Street Asset Management took note of the global tailwinds for gold and the dislocation of gold equities from gold pricing and launched its gold and precious metals portfolio.