The Eyewall

Introducing The Eyewall, your go-to source for regular updates on the Atlantic tropics, brought to you by Houston meteorologists Matt Lanza and Eric Berger.

International

English

Online/Digital

Outlet metrics

Domain Authority

Ranking

Global

#1400506

United States

#339917

News and Media

#9604

Traffic sources

Monthly visitors

Articles

The pendulum swings back to high water on the Mississippi River

1 week ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

The southern half of Mississippi River will experience moderate to major flooding in the days ahead, albeit well under levels seen in other flood events in recent years. But the addition of potentially significant rainfall in portions of the Mid-South this weekend (Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas) could add to Lower Mississippi flooding risks.
Let’s talk about the Western U.S. and their water situation in 2025

2 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

As a meteorologist, weather in general fascinates me. I worked two years in California about 15 years ago, and when I took that job, everyone teased me, saying the weather was “so easy” to forecast. And, yes, about 80 percent of the year, conditions are pretty stable overall. There is nuance to that. Most people may not realize a minor difference in temperature from day to day, but it’s something that can be reflected in power usage.
Could the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season have some tricks up its sleeve? Breaking down the CSU Outlook

2 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

Late last week, the team at Colorado State University issued their always hotly anticipated seasonal hurricane outlook for the Atlantic Basin. To clear this up at the beginning, their forecast calls for:17 named storms (normal 14)9 hurricanes (normal 7)4 major hurricanes (normal 3)Accumulated cyclone energy: 155 (normal 123)Nothing about this forecast on the surface is especially notable or alarming or fascinating. It’s simply a slightly above average forecast.
A quieter week after an incredible rainfall forecast, as huge footprint of major flooding continues

2 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

Weather forecasts verified exceptionally well with the ongoing Mid-South flooding. Numerous rivers are experiencing or soon will experience major flooding as all this feeds into the larger Ohio/Mississippi Basin. A much quieter week is expected this week. Next week may be a good bit stormier, however. Now that it’s over, we can say that last week and weekend’s rainstorm sadly lived up to the expectations set days before. Take a look at the map comparison below.
Looking at the next 24 to 36 hours of severe weather and flooding in the Mid-South

3 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

Thunderstorms are cranking up as anticipated this afternoon all across the Mid-South all the way north to northern Indiana with a bunch of severe thunderstorm warnings about 7 tornado warnings at the time I am writing this. A “high risk” for severe weather was issued from eastern Arkansas to just south of Evansville, Indiana today. The reasons included the potential for strong tornadoes, very large hail, and very strong wind gusts.
Potential for catastrophic flooding by the weekend in the Mid-South and near the Ohio Valley

3 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

The National Weather Service in Paducah, KY did not mince words this afternoon in their briefing on the upcoming rainstorm across the Ohio Valley: “Significant and potentially historic rainfall will begin Wednesday afternoon, with numerous rounds of heavy rain continuing into the first half of the weekend, leading to potentially catastrophic flash flooding.”I have a whole post eventually coming to my Substack page on words and how we use them.
Near record rainfall possible, with flooding concerns growing in the Ohio and Mississippi Valleys this week

3 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

Yesterday we jumped into the thought process behind the flooding concerns for this week. The update today is not much better. Over the last 30 days, rainfall has actually been manageable in the Ohio Valley and points south, with most areas seeing near normal or slightly below normal rains. You can see that most of Kentucky has been slightly below average, with much drier conditions to the west into Arkansas and Missouri.
Spring rains causing serious, dangerous flooding issues from Texas to the Midwest

3 weeks ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

This post will discuss what happened last week in the Rio Grande Valley, which saw historic rainfall in spots. We will also take a look at a growing risk of serious, possibly dangerous weather in the Midwest and Mid-South later in the upcoming week. For some time leading into this past week, there were signs of, not really a pattern change, but a disruption in the stagnant, dry Texas weather pattern we’ve seen much of this year.
Weather balloon launch cuts: An honest look at how it should impact forecasts

1 month ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

As we navigate the world right now, we have an obligation to keep our readers informed on the news of the day as it relates to weather forecasting. After all, if you are using this site and others for weather forecast information, you have an interest. But there’s a lot of news out there, and a lot of opinions masquerading as news. No matter your political leanings, the “zone” as it were is flooded and trying to piece together facts vs. stretched truths can be difficult in any ideology.
The 2025 drying of Texas has commenced, so what does it mean?

1 month ago | theeyewall.com | Matt Lanza

We’re off to a fairly volatile start to spring in Texas, and the risks are not really coming via thunderstorms but rather via wildfire risk. For the third time in less than 2 weeks, there is a “critical” wildfire risk in Texas (as well as Oklahoma) today. This means the threat of wildfires is about as bad as it gets for some of these areas. Not all of Texas is included in this risk, but much of the western half of the state, as well as North Texas into Oklahoma are there.