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Nov 14, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Walter C. Clemens |Aliide Naylor |Doug Livermore |Veronika Puhach
Mornings are the worst. Today, once again, I woke and wondered if you’d survived the night. I checked the messenger channels to see when you were online. I checked throughout the day, but you’ve been offline for four days now. Four days. Direct communication means so much. When you’re offline, but “last seen” online less than a day ago, I can be calm and fairly sure that you’re okay. Blissfully, you — my husband — tend to be online regularly despite being on active duty.
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Nov 12, 2024 | 
atlanticcouncil.org | Peter J. Dickinson |Doug Livermore |Aura Sabadus
A delegation of parliamentarians from France, Germany, Poland, Sweden, Finland, and the Baltic states arrived in Tbilisi on Monday as the fallout continued from Georgia’s disputed October 26 parliamentary elections. The European delegation was welcomed by opposition figures but was snubbed by representatives of the country’s Georgian Dream ruling party, who refused to meet the visiting EU politicians and accused them of “propagating lies” amid allegations of systematic election fraud.
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Nov 6, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Emil Avdaliani |Anda Bologa |Edward Lucas |Doug Livermore
Donald Trump’s election as US president has come at a crucial time for Georgia and the South Caucasus in general. Georgia’s ruling party, Georgian Dream (GD), won an unprecedented fourth consecutive term in the October 27 parliamentary elections. The still-disputed outcome, the ruling party’s hostile rhetoric, and the suspicion that Georgia has taken a sharp turn back toward Russia have left US-Georgian relations at their lowest point in the past 30 years.
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Nov 6, 2024 | 
newsweek.com | Doug Livermore |Alexander Noyes
CLOSE X Share✓ Link copied to clipboard! Ukrainian special operations forces are stepping up efforts to sabotage railroads and other Russian targets, which are key to Moscow's logistics strategy supporting their war of attrition in Ukraine. The United States and other like-minded allies should likewise ramp up support to organize, train, equip, and share intelligence with Ukrainian national resistance warfare efforts. Doing so could help tip the balance in Ukraine's favor.
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Nov 5, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Gonzalo Vázquez |Edward Lucas |Mitzi Perdue |Doug Livermore
The threat from non-state actors in the crucial waterway, and the German government’s response, have raised important questions about the future of naval warfare. In May, the German Navy sent its F125 frigate Baden-Wurttemburg, and the replenishment ship Frankfurt-am-Main, on a deployment around the world, which included sailing through the contested Taiwan Strait.
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Oct 17, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Aura Sabadus |Doug Livermore |Olga Lautman
Moldovans will decide on a president and their European future in elections on October 20. The stakes are very high. A referendum will ask citizens whether the country’s constitution should be amended to include its wish for EU membership. Although the question is straightforward and an emphatic “yes” vote would consolidate Moldova’s European trajectory, a “no” vote could threaten its very existence.
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Oct 11, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Doug Livermore |Julian Wieczorkiewicz |Joel Ramlill |Edward Lucas
When is a hybrid warfare attack not warfare? Might it even be explained as benign? When strange things happen, perhaps we can all return to our everyday business and stop worrying. That would be unwise. The issue has been vexing Lithuania, which has for some time been experiencing a new phenomenon — dozens and dozens of balloons carrying large packages drifting on the prevailing winds from Belarus, its hostile next-door neighbor.
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Oct 10, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Irina Borogan |Andrei Soldatov |Anda Bologa |Doug Livermore
When Kaspersky apps, a world-known flagship antivirus software, was removed from Google Play in October, it did not come as a huge surprise, either to Kaspersky lab or to Yevgeny Kaspersky himself. The expulsion from US App stores was a matter of time after US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo announced the ban on sales and distribution of Kaspersky products in June, citing Moscow’s influence over the company as posing a significant risk to US infrastructure and services.
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Oct 9, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Doug Livermore |Elisabeth Braw |Edward Lucas
Russia’s heavy reliance on its rail network for military logistics has highlighted the crucial role of transportation systems during conflicts. And how vulnerable — rail is by its nature a long, fixed system almost impossible to defend at all times. Saboteurs, be they on foot or commanding a drone, find rich opportunities for destruction. Russia’s senior leaders may be extremely nasty, but they aren’t stupid.
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Oct 2, 2024 | 
cepa.org | Doug Livermore
If the September test of the Sarmat 2 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), commonly referred to as Satan 2, was supposed to make enemies tremble, it was not only a technical but also a political failure. The missile, a key element of Russia’s modernized strategic nuclear forces, is supposed to travel up to 11,000 miles. Instead it may have traveled a few feet and left a smoldering 200ft-wide crater and obliterated launch silo following its catastrophic failure.
