-
Dec 20, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Judith Donath |Raymond Perrault
Focus on the long-term welfare of people and society: Ask not what AI can do but what WE can ask it to do“The question of the future of humans and AI seems impossible to answer because of unexplainable humans, not because of unexplainable AI. So much depends on our use and control of…Augmented intelligence can inspire humanity to significantly upgrade everything“Ideally, in 2040 the transition to the self-actualization economy will have begun. We will have come a long way since the 2020s.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“The question of the future of humans and AI seems impossible to answer because of unexplainable humans, not because of unexplainable AI. So much depends on our use and control of AI. And that depends on who ‘our/we’ is. There are a number of issues here. Machines gave us huge gains in our ability to produce and eventually to transport things, including food. That in turn gave us too many choices, which often overwhelms us (see Barry Schwartz’s brilliant book ‘Paradox of Choice’).
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Jerome C Glenn |Esther Dyson |Janna Anderson
“Ideally, in 2040 the transition to the self-actualization economy will have begun. We will have come a long way since the 2020s. For the first time in history, humanity will be highly engaged in conversations about what kind of civilization it wants and what we, as individuals and as a species, want to become. Movies, global cyber games, UN summits, VR news, flash mob cyber teach-ins and global thought leaders will lead us in probing the meaning of life and the possible future as never before.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“As we look to the future, we might assume that the biggest existential threats to humanity lie in climate change and nuclear wars. As massive as those problems are, they are problems of the ‘outer world,’ ones that we can apply ourselves to. The confusion and crisis over individuals’ AI-aided (or addled) identity/identities could cause individuals turmoil in [as many as or more than] 8 billion inner worlds, and this could lead to the total destruction of humans from within.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Judith Donath |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“In computer-human interface design, the word ‘agent’ refers to chatbots and other seemingly autonomous entities that act on behalf of the computer in their interactions with us human users. It does not take a great leap of imagination to predict that soon many of us will ourselves similarly be computer agents, acting on behalf of one AI system or another – a role we will have willingly, even eagerly, chosen.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Raymond Perrault |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for the evolution of current generative AI from now to 2040. “Scenario 1: Even with larger models, and better tuning and prompting procedures, generative AI technology remains seductive but maddeningly unreliable.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Jamais Cascio |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“There are two critical uncertainties as we imagine 2040 scenarios:Do citizens have the ability to see the role AI plays in their day-to-day lives, and, ideally, have the ability to make choices about its use? Does the AI have the capacity to recognize how its actions could lead to violations of law and human rights and refuse to carry out those actions, even if given a direct instruction? “In other words, can humans say ‘no’ to AI, and can AI say ‘no’ to humans?
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Henry Brady |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where it has created enormous value:1) Researchers could not live without it anymore – it has made enormous amounts of data and information available at their fingertips. 2) Consumers have greater choices and opportunities with online shopping, while costing local retailers their livelihoods.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Marina Gorbis |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“How our individual lives and society will change with the diffusion of AI depends less on technological innovations and more on policies and institutional arrangements in which they develop.
-
Nov 1, 2023 | 
imaginingthedigitalfuture.org | Ray Schroeder |Esther Dyson |Jerome C Glenn |Janna Anderson
“Much more will be gained than will be lost due to artificial intelligence in the coming 15 years. It will significantly enhance lives worldwide. Overriding all of the changes will be the greatly enhanced access to learning. AI will enable people of all cultures, income levels, social status, races, gender and ages above three or four years to avail themselves of access to knowledge, logic, perspectives and projections.
