Maeva Cousin

Zurich

Writer and Senior Economist at Bloomberg News

Global Economist, Bloomberg Economics. All views are my own.

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Articles

Aranceles recíprocos de Trump harán historia y desmantelarán un sistema que detesta

2 months ago | elfinanciero.com.mx | Enda Curran |Maeva Cousin

Hace casi 100 años, Estados Unidos promulgó una ley arancelaria que desencadenó una guerra comercial global y prolongó y profundizó la Gran Depresión. Ahora, el presidente Donald Trump apuesta a que el mundo ha cambiado lo suficiente como para que la historia no se repita.
Barreras más altas para el comercio significarán más deuda y un crecimiento más lento

Oct 9, 2024 | bloomberglinea.com | Jennifer Welch |Maeva Cousin |Eleonora Mavroeidi |Bhargavi Sakthivel |Gerard DiPippo |Tom Orlik

Bloomberg — Una guerra caliente en Ucrania, una guerra comercial entre China y EE.UU. y la amenaza de Donald Trump de aumentar drásticamente los aranceles plantean la perspectiva de una ruptura acelerada de los lazos internacionales. Para la economía mundial, las consecuencias serían significativas y negativas.
Higher Trade Fences Mean More Debt And Slower Growth: Bloomberg Economics

Oct 8, 2024 | bloomberg.com | Jennifer Welch |Maeva Cousin |Eleonora Mavroeidi |Bhargavi Sakthivel |Gerard DiPippo |Tom Orlik

How three scenarios for international cooperation—from a second Cold War to a return of go-go globalization—would change the world economy. A hot war in Ukraine, a trade war between China and the US, and Donald Trump’s threat of sweeping tariff increases raise the prospect of an accelerated rupture of international ties. For the global economy, the consequences would be significant—and negative.
Bloomberg Briefs

Jul 5, 2024 | shorturl.at | Eleonora Mavroeidi |Maeva Cousin |Jamie Rush

Read More At the other end of the spectrum, if the RN were to form a majority government and implement its program in full, this could trigger a bond market selloff, raising long-term borrowing costs and halting growth in 2025. That risk is way out in the tails. If the RN forms the next government, failure to achieve a full majority or fear of an adverse market reaction would probably keep its policy ambition in check.
A million simulations, one verdict for economy: debt danger ahead

Apr 6, 2024 | sentinelsource.com | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox

The Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that U.S. federal government debt is on a path from 97 percent of GDP last year to 116 percent by 2034 — higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse. From tax revenue to defense spending and interest rates, the CBO forecasts released earlier this year are underpinned by rosy assumptions. Plug in the market’s current view on interest rates, and the debt-to-GDP ratio rises to 123 percent in 2034.
A million simulations, one verdict for US economy: Debt danger ahead

Apr 3, 2024 | finans.dk | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox

03/04/2024 KL. 07:10 For abonnenter The Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that US federal government debt is on a path from 97% of GDP last year to 116% by 2034 - higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse. From tax revenue to defense spending and interest rates, the CBO forecasts released earlier this year Log ind Få adgang til FINANS - Overblik, inspiration og indsigt i dansk og internationalt erhvervsliv.
Why Do We Dislike Inflation?

Apr 2, 2024 | edwardconard.com | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox |Victoria Zaretskaya

A Bloomberg analysis argues the US debt outlook is fragile, with servicing costs reaching 5.4% of GDP by 2034, 1.5x what was spent on defense last year. Bloomberg Economics has built a forecast model using market pricing for future interest rates and data on the maturity profile of bonds. Keeping all the CBO’s other assumptions in place, that shows debt equaling 123% of GDP for 2034.
A million simulations, one verdict for US economy: Debt danger ahead

Apr 2, 2024 | orlandosentinel.com | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox

The Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that U.S. federal government debt is on a path from 97% of GDP last year to 116% by 2034 — higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse. From tax revenue to defense spending and interest rates, the CBO forecasts released earlier this year are underpinned by rosy assumptions. Plug in the market’s current view on interest rates, and the debt-to-GDP ratio rises to 123% in 2034.
A million simulations, one verdict for US economy: Debt danger ahead

Apr 2, 2024 | mercurynews.com | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox

By Bhargavi Sakthivel, Maeva Cousin and David Wilcox, Bloomberg NewsThe Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that U.S. federal government debt is on a path from 97% of GDP last year to 116% by 2034 — higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse. From tax revenue to defense spending and interest rates, the CBO forecasts released earlier this year are underpinned by rosy assumptions.
Debt danger ahead

Apr 2, 2024 | thebrunswicknews.com | Bhargavi Sakthivel |Maeva Cousin |David Wilcox

The Congressional Budget Office warned in its latest projections that U.S. federal government debt is on a path from 97% of GDP last year to 116% by 2034 - higher even than in World War II. The actual outlook is likely worse. From tax revenue to defense spending and interest rates, the CBO forecasts released earlier this year are underpinned by rosy assumptions. Plug in the market's current view on interest rates, and the debt-to-GDP ratio rises to 123% in 2034.