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2 months ago | 
theweekinpolls.substack.com | Mark Pack |Paula Surridge
Welcome to the 145th edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP) which dives into the polling details behind a definitive looking headline from The Times. Will we find that the poll results back up the headline, or not? Then it is a summary of the latest national voting intention polls and a round-up of party leader ratings, followed by, for paid-for subscribers, 10 insights from the last week’s polling and analysis.
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Oct 21, 2024 | 
theconversation.com | Laura Hood |Daniel Evans |Gillian Prior |John Curtice |Oliver Heath |Paula Surridge | +1 more
Social class continues to influence British people’s opportunities and the way they think about them, even if the boundaries between those classes have shifted. In the third part of Know Your Place: what happened to class in British politics, a podcast series from The Conversation Documentaries, we explore how class is defined and measured, and how the UK’s changing class identity interacts with identity politics.
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Oct 11, 2024 | 
lse.ac.uk | Anand Menon |Paula Surridge
LSE Player is home to the latest films and podcasts from the London School of Economics and Political Science. Here you can watch videos on cutting edge research, find the award-winning LSE IQ podcast, and listen to more than 5,000 public event recordings featuring some of the world’s leading thinkers.
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Oct 7, 2024 | 
theconversation.com | Laura Hood |Geoffrey Evans |John Curtice |Paula Surridge |Tim Bale
In the first episode of Know Your Place: what happened to class in British politics, a new podcast series from The Conversation Documentaries, we explore when the relationship between class and voting broke down and why. In 1967, legendary political scientist Peter Pulzer wrote: “Class is the basis of British party politics; all else is embellishment and detail.” His assertion reflected a long period in political history in which class identity mapped fairly neatly onto our voting habits.
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Jul 16, 2024 | 
ukandeu.ac.uk | Paula Surridge |Alex Walker
Paula Surridge writes that while the Conservatives lost 2019 voters over perceptions of incompetence, values determined where those voters went. To win again, the party will need to build a new coalition of voters, but the fragments of the old coalition don’t easily fit back together. This piece is taken from the UK Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign report, which can be found here.
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Jul 5, 2024 | 
theguardian.com | Paula Surridge
The story of the 2024 general election is of voters turning away from a deeply unpopular governing party. What parties they turned to and how that interacted with the electoral system is a more complex story that may take some time to fully grasp. TurnoutTurnout is often misinterpreted. Nevertheless, 2024 was undoubtedly a low-turnout election. After 648 results it stands at 60%, only just above the low point of the 2001 election. Many factors could be behind this.
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Jul 3, 2024 | 
ukandeu.ac.uk | Paula Surridge |Alex Walker
Over the course of the last 18 months, Labour has been building a (likely winning) electoral coalition. Paula Surridge explores where the potential future fault lines might lie, highlighting that if, at the next election, economic issues are less dominant and social issues more salient it might prove challenging to hold this coalition together.
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Jun 30, 2024 | 
researchprofessionalnews.com | Paula Surridge
Paula Surridge assesses how graduates will affect voting patterns in the upcoming general electionOf the 40 constituencies with the highest proportion of graduates in England, 31 are in Greater London, a reflection of the pull of the capital for those with degrees. The remaining constituencies in this group are either just outside the Greater London boundary (Esher and Walton), or in university towns and cities (Cambridge, Oxford West and Bristol Central).
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Jun 28, 2024 | 
theguardian.com | Paula Surridge
The Labour lead in the opinion polls has been 20 percentage points throughout the campaign. But the polls haven’t been entirely static. Over the past five weeks there has been one key change in polling that has the potential to turn a historic defeat for the Conservatives into an obliteration when the election is called. Reform UK started the campaign on an average of 11% in the polls.
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Jun 27, 2024 | 
ukandeu.ac.uk | Paula Surridge
Professor Paula Surridge looks at what movement we may, or may not, have seen in polling as we close in on election day, and how this election is proving a real stress test for MRP models. With just seven days to go it is remarkable how little has changed in terms of Labour’s lead in the opinion polls. Its lead over the Conservatives was 21 percentage points at the start of the campaign and remains 21 percentage points with a week to go.
