Cepa

The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) aims to strengthen and maintain a robust transatlantic alliance based on shared democratic values and principles, while also focusing on strategic foresight and impactful policies. We deliver innovative research, analysis, and programs that offer new perspectives on energy, security, and defense to government officials and agencies. Additionally, we assist transatlantic businesses in adapting to evolving strategic environments and foster connections among the next generation of Atlanticist leaders. CEPA operates as a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization dedicated to public policy.

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Russia Jails Election-Rigging Watchdog

2 weeks ago | cepa.org | Aliide Naylor

Grigory Melkonyants, co-chair of Golos, the country’s sole independent election watchdog, was jailed for five years on May 14 and barred from “engaging in public activity” for nine years under laws targeting “undesirable organisations.” He has already spent nearly two years in prison awaiting trial, which the judge said would contribute towards his sentence. In his final statement to the court, Melkonyants, a lawyer, was defiant and criticized the judicial process that led to his conviction.
Iberia’s Blackout: Blame Renewables Management

2 weeks ago | cepa.org | Enrique Dans

Trains stopped. Phones cut off. When the Iberia Peninsula’s electricity grid collapsed in a matter of minutes recently, daily life came to a crashing halt. Many critics immediately blamed renewables. Sun and wind generated more than half of Spain’s electricity last year, up from about a quarter 15 years ago. The rapid increase has put Spain at the forefront of Europe’s transition to renewable energy, just as pressure rises to curtail the continent’s green hopes.
Romanian Centrist Election Victory Brings Relief to Allies

2 weeks ago | cepa.org | Alison Mutler

The dramatic victory of the pro-Western and pro-Ukrainian mayor of Bucharest, Nicușor Dan, in Romania’s second-round presidential vote on May 18 has been hailed as an endorsement of the EU and ongoing support for Ukraine. The relief was clear in the congratulatory messages that flooded in to herald Dan’s 54%-46% win. Everyone who was anyone in Brussels and among the big European powers offered their sincere best wishes.
Wildcat or Whale? Europe’s New Ukraine War Crimes Court

3 weeks ago | cepa.org | Chris Stephen

“I had hoped we were hurling a wildcat onto the shore,” Winston Churchill once said of a failed amphibious operation. “Instead, we got a stranded whale.” That may be the fate of Europe’s new crime of aggression court for Ukraine, launched this month with much fanfare, but which may never hold a trial. The Special Tribunal for the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine was approved by European ministers on May 9.
Europe Cannot Repeat America’s Light Tank Fiasco

3 weeks ago | cepa.org | Michael Peck

Trust the Pentagon to develop an oxymoron: a heavy light tank. The M10 Booker — recently canceled by the Department of Defense — took a wrong turn and ended up on the road to budgetary oblivion. But will Europe do any better? As European nations vow to massively boost defense budgets — including new tanks — will they buy vehicles that either don’t work or are no longer relevant to the future battlefield?
Tariffs and Tech: An Uncertain Recipe

4 weeks ago | cepa.org | Pablo Chavez

The most recent quarterly earnings results of Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft offer insights into how the Trump administration’s tariffs might affect tech companies’ capital expenditures on data centers and other infrastructure that supports their AI efforts. For now, the impact appears minimal, but in the medium and long term, US tariffs could have significant effects on companies’ artificial intelligence-related investments. The four companies are still making enormous outlays.
Bosnia: Moscow's Second Front in Europe

1 month ago | cepa.org | Stephen Blank

According to British Intelligence, and Foreign Secretary David Lammy, Vladimir Putin wants the Western Balkans to be his “next playground.” This is a late recognition of something that has been going on for years. The entire Balkans region has for too long been Putin’s playground, or second front, in Europe. Moscow has waged an unrelenting campaign to destabilize Moldova, enjoys substantial influence in Bulgaria and has been revealed as trying to subvert Romania’s election.
Cutting the Russian Energy Cord

1 month ago | cepa.org | Aura Sabadus

After a five-month delay, the European Commission published its much-touted action plan on May 6 to end its remaining dependence on Russian fossil fuels and nuclear products by the end of 2027. The deadline aligns with the provisions of REPowerEU, a package of measures launched immediately after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, designed to save energy, increase renewable output, and diversify away from Russian fossil fuels.
Romania's Post-Election Foreign Policy in the Balance

1 month ago | cepa.org | Alison Mutler

A 38-year-old nationalist has won the first round of the closely watched presidential election re-run. George Simion has not yet taken power but is the favorite to become president and so take control of Romanian foreign policy. Simion, who opposes military aid to Ukraine and who wears a MAGA red baseball cap during campaigning, won 41% in the first round on May 4, far more than opinion and exit polls predicted.
The Future of EU-US Tech Security Policy

1 month ago | cepa.org | Fiona Alexander |Ronan Murphy

Event Overview A discussion with High Sevel US and Polish Officials Leading on Cloud Security, Competitiveness, and Cybersecurity. With technology being a driver of national security, it is key for the US and the EU to explore the nexus between cybersecurity, cloud competitiveness, and national security.