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CANADA DATA: Manufacturing Sales Set To Pull Back After Strong January

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Tim Cooper

The advance estimate of Canadian manufacturing sales shows a 0.2% M/M nominal decline in February, led by falls in food / petroleum and coal products, per StatCan. If confirmed, it would mark the weakest reading / first decline (in nominal terms) since September.
MNI BRIEF: BOE Bailey - AI A Way Out Of UK's Low Productivity

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Monday highlighted the weakness of UK productivity growth and labour supply in a speech at Leicester University, without addressing current monetary policy. Bailey noted that average annual potential gowth fell from 2.6% in the pre-financial crisis period to 1.3% in the decade up to 2019 and to just 0.7% since 2020, with an ageing population entailing that there is a more pressing need to raise the workforce's productivity.
MNI PODCAST: FedSpeak - Canada Factories Scrimp Under Tariffs

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Greg Quinn

Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters President Dennis Darby was on MNI's FedSpeak podcast. MNI (OTTAWA) - EXECUTIVE SUMMARYCanadian Manufacturers & Exporters President Dennis Darby says firms are cutting back on capital spending including replacement of gear. Trump's ambition to relocate production within the U.S. would take a long time and may face resistance from Americans seeing higher prices and reduced availability of products.
FED: Atlanta's Bostic Sees One Less 2025 Rate Cut Amid Slow Inflation Progress

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Tim Cooper

Atlanta Fed Pres Bostic (non-2025 FOMC voter, leans hawk) says in a Bloomberg interview that he has reduced his 2025 rate cut expectations to 1 in March's economic projections versus 2 previously, "because I think we will see inflation be very bumpy", and delayed inflation progress warranted pushing back the path to neutral rates. This puts him among the 8 most hawkish FOMC members for 2025 (of 19 participants, 4 saw 1 cut, 4 saw none).
GLOBAL: Economic Data Calendar 24/03/2025

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Moritz Arold

Date GMT/Local Period Country Release Prior Consensus 25/03/2025 0700/0800 Feb SE PPI m/m -- -- % 25/03/2025 0700/0800 Feb SE PPI y/y -- -- % 25/03/2025 0800/0900 Feb ES PPI m/m -- -- % 25/03/2025 0800/0900 Feb ES PPI y/y -- -- % 25/03/2025 0900/1000 Mar DE IFO Business Climate Index 85.2 87 25/03/2025 1000/1000 28-Mar UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- -- 25/03/2025 1100/1100 Mar UK CBI Retail Sales Expected Balance -30 -- 25/03/2025 1100/1100 Mar UK CBI Retail Sales Reported Balance -23 -- 25/03/2025...
OPTIONS: Expiries for Mar25 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Edward Hardy

MNI is the leading provider of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.
MNI NBH WATCH: New Governor, New Projections, Same Base Rate

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Luke Heighton

MNI (LONDON) - The National Bank of Hungary is widely expected to keep its base rate unchanged at 6.5% this week after inflation strengthened again, with new Governor Mihaly Varga likely to signal a continuing pause following its easing cycle. Inflation has been on a steady upward trend since last autumn, when September's CPI growth of 3.0% prompted the most recent cut, by 25 basis points, further reducing the base rate from its 13% peak a year earlier.
S CENTRAL NATGAS: Waha Fundamentals Weigh Cooling Demand vs Offline Capacity

1 month ago | marketnews.com |

Waha Natgas fundamentals are leaning bullish today as cooling demand rises. However, today is set to see slightly higher offline takeaway capacity from Permian. US Gulf end user demand is at 15.69bcf/d, up by around 0.08bcf/d on the day and led by rises in industrial consumption. Demand is 0.68bcf/d above the 30-day average. Texas HDD count is 29 below normal for the coming two weeks, but CDD count is 50 above, implying a boost for cooling demand. El Paso HDD is 42 below while CDD is 86 above.
JPY: USD/JPY Rallies Further, Defying Bearish Trend Signals

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Edward Hardy

USD/JPY well through the mid-month highs on this move - hitting the best level since March 3rd. Initial trigger remains the US PMI numbers coming ahead of expectations, but the latest leg looks based on the underlying equity rally (in turn, buoyed by Trump's supposed targeted tariffs blunting the blow of trade measures from April 2nd). We noted last month the imminent formation of a death cross in dma space (50-dma < 200-dma) for the first time since September last year.
POLAND: MPC's Duda Says July Projection Key for Rate Moves

1 month ago | marketnews.com | Hiren Ravji

Polish interest rates are set to stay on hold in the coming months, with the central bank’s inflation projection in July key for the timing of potential easing, Monetary Policy Council member Iwona Duda said in an interview with Bloomberg. “Only the July projection can provide arguments decisive for the prospects of interest rate cuts, both in terms of timing and scale,” Duda said.