Chantelle Burton

Dec 6, 2024 | agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com | Ranjini Swaminathan |Jacob Schewe |Jeremy F. Walton |Klaus F. Zimmermann |Colin Jones |Richard A. Betts | +5 more

1 Introduction The use of climate projections for impact assessment often exploits numerous climate and Earth system models (ESMs). The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (Veronika Eyring et al., 2016) (CMIP) provides underpinning simulations to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) analysis of climate projections (Lee et al., 2021), changes in climate impact drivers (Ranasinghe et al., 2021), and assessment of impacts and vulnerability (IPCC, 2022).

Nov 17, 2024 | nature.com | Douglas Kelley |Ning Dong |Chantelle Burton

AbstractExplaining tropical tree cover distribution in areas of intermediate rainfall is challenging, with fire’s role in limiting tree cover particularly controversial. We use a novel Bayesian approach to provide observational constraints on the strength of the influence of humans, fire, rainfall seasonality, heat stress, and wind throw on tropical tree cover.

Oct 25, 2024 | nature.com | Chae Yeon Park |Kiyoshi Takahashi |Shinichiro Fujimori |Thanapat Jansakoo |Chantelle Burton |Huilin Huang | +7 more

Correction to: Nature Climate Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02149-1, published online 21 October 2024. In the version of the article initially published, in the first paragraph, the units were incorrect in the sentence “Fire smoke includes fine particulate matter with a diameter of ≤2.5 μg m–3 (PM2.5)”. This sentence has now been amended to “Fire smoke includes fine particulate matter with a diameter of ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5)” in the HTML and PDF versions of the article.

Oct 21, 2024 | nature.com | Chantelle Burton |Seppe Lampe |Douglas Kelley |Wim Thiery |Stijn Hantson |Lukas Gudmundsson | +11 more

AbstractFire behaviour is changing in many regions worldwide. However, nonlinear interactions between fire weather, fuel, land use, management and ignitions have impeded formal attribution of global burned area changes. Here, we demonstrate that climate change increasingly explains regional burned area patterns, using an ensemble of global fire models.

Oct 21, 2024 | nature.com | Kiyoshi Takahashi |Shinichiro Fujimori |Chantelle Burton |Huilin Huang |Sian Kou-Giesbrecht |Matthias Mengel | +7 more

AbstractClimate change intensifies fire smoke, emitting hazardous air pollutants that impact human health. However, the global influence of climate change on fire-induced health impacts remains unquantified. Here we used three well-tested fire–vegetation models in combination with a chemical transport model and health risk assessment framework to attribute global human mortality from fire fine particulate matter (PM2.5) emissions to climate change.