
Luke Grant
Articles
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1 month ago |
nature.com | Luke Grant |Inne Vanderkelen |Lukas Gudmundsson |Erich Fischer |Sonia I. Seneviratne |Wim Thiery
Climate extremes are escalating under anthropogenic climate change1. Yet, how this translates into unprecedented cumulative extreme event exposure in a person’s lifetime remains unclear. Here we use climate models, impact models and demographic data to project the number of people experiencing cumulative lifetime exposure to climate extremes above the 99.99th percentile of exposure expected in a pre-industrial climate. We project that the birth cohort fraction facing this unprecedented lifetime exposure to heatwaves, crop failures, river floods, droughts, wildfires and tropical cyclones will at least double from 1960 to 2020 under current mitigation policies aligned with a global warming pathway reaching 2.7 °C above pre-industrial temperatures by 2100. Under a 1.5 °C pathway, 52% of people born in 2020 will experience unprecedented lifetime exposure to heatwaves. If global warming reaches 3.5 °C by 2100, this fraction rises to 92% for heatwaves, 29% for crop failures and 14% for river floods. The chance of facing unprecedented lifetime exposure to heatwaves is substantially larger among population groups characterized by high socioeconomic vulnerabilities. Our results call for deep and sustained greenhouse gas emissions reductions to lower the burden of climate change on current young generations. Climate models, impact models and demographic data are used to estimate the number of people projected to experience unprecedented lifetime exposure to extreme climate events across multiple dimensions, including birth year, warming scenario and vulnerability.
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Jan 10, 2025 |
2gb.com | Luke Grant
Create a 2GB account today! You can now log in once to listen live, watch live, join competitions, enjoy exclusive 2GB content and other benefits. You will soon need to register to keep streaming 2GB online. Register an account or skip for now to do it later.
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Dec 7, 2024 |
4bc.com.au | Luke Grant
HomeImportance of staying safe on..
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Nov 29, 2024 |
4bc.com.au | Luke Grant
‘It’s time for a change’ – Celebrity Chef Luke Mangan on leaving the Glass Brasserie After almost 20 years, celebrity chef and restaurateur Luke Mangan is putting down the knives, hanging up his apron and calling time on his tenure at Glass Brasserie at The Hilton Sydney. Luke Mangan dropped into the studio to tell Luke Grant about what led him to the decision to leave ‘Glass”, his plans for the future and to reminisce about their days broadcasting together. Download this podcast here...
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Nov 29, 2024 |
4bc.com.au | Luke Grant
Following a week of what some have labelled as “extreme heat”, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has released its long-term weather forecast for summer 2024-2025. They’re predicting it’ll likely be warmer than average across most of the country, with higher than usual summer rainfall predicted for much of the country. Long range weather forecaster Hayden Walker’s family has been in the business of weather forecasting since 1892, and are Australia’s oldest weather forecasting company.
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